Part of: Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 7 12:00 PM ET to September 9, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,095.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets

Notable Trades

Profitable serial cross-market bettor buys No

A highly experienced bettor with an 82% win rate and $258,382 lifetime profit made a concentrated No bet in a thin market.

  • This bettor wins 82% of 907 resolved trades and is up $258,382 lifetime.
  • The $1,095 position accounts for 76% of the market’s 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction in No.
  • The trade entered No at 82¢, near the current 81% market price, with a 2¢ spread.

$1,095 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $34,912
  2. 0x6845...c125 — Yes, $14,079 (26% win rate)
  3. 0x372a...eb59 — Yes, $6,170 (78% win rate)
  4. 0xf452...8ff9 — Yes, $5,988
  5. 0x35f3...cfd0 — Yes, $2,800
  6. 0x590e...e43d — Yes, $2,508
  7. 0x5a21...9318 — Yes, $2,032 (65% win rate)
  8. 0x6be9...3493 — Yes, $1,535
  9. 0x2ef2...7f72 — Yes, $1,000 (45% win rate)
  10. 0x5c4f...3338 — Yes, $1,000

Related Theses

Musk will post 40+ tweets

Covers 1 related market

Nationals will defeat the Braves

Covers 1 related market

Musk will tweet 40-64 times

Covers 1 related market

Athletics will beat the Red Sox

Covers 1 related market

Musk Will Post 40-64 Tweets

Covers 1 related market

Musk will post 200-219 tweets

Covers 1 related market

Yankees will defeat the Mariners

Covers 1 related market

Musk will post 90-114 tweets

Covers 1 related market

Royals will beat the Tigers

Covers 1 related market

Anthropic IPO won’t happen by deadline

Covers 1 related market

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?$1,095 tracked1 signalCulturePoliticsTweet Markets
Yes
0¢
No
100¢

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 7 12:00 PM ET to September 9, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Notable Trades

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?

2026-09-07 12:00 UTC

$1,095 on No at 82¢

82¢→100¢↑18¢

Related Theses