Part of: World Cup: France Stage of Elimination

Will France be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,200.

Categories: Soccer, Sports, FIFA World Cup, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Stage of Elimination

Notable Trades

84% winner buying longshot

Sharp positive-P&L wallet with an 84% resolved-bet record is buying France quarterfinal elimination at 18¢ despite only a modest single-trade alert score.

This bettor wins 84% of resolved bets and is up $32,363 lifetime.
They bought Yes at 18¢, implying a potential ~5.6x payout if France exits in the quarterfinals.
The market has decent liquidity and recent volume, so this looks more like a track-record copy signal than a thin-market move.

$1,200 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 38141284, $24,649
0xe7bd...ebce — Outcome 89596754, $21,142 (92% win rate)
0xe723...8104 — Outcome 89596754, $2,278
0x1622...d2ae — Outcome 89596754, $1,555
0x5fd8...ce32 — Outcome 89596754, $1,274 (89% win rate)
0x511f...cbe1 — Outcome 89596754, $1,050 (49% win rate)
0x3879...d8c3 — Outcome 89596754, $1,000
0x56c2...6219 — Outcome 89596754, $1,000
0x5113...f0ba — Outcome 89596754, $1,000
0xcccc...05b2 — Outcome 89596754, $1,000 (92% win rate)

Related Theses

Iran deal unlikely before November

Covers 7 related markets

Argentina over Spain for World Cup

Covers 2 related markets

Iran uranium deal in July

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Will France be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

ResolvedWorld Cup: France Stage of Elimination$1,200 tracked1 signalSoccerSportsFIFA World Cup2026 FIFA World CupStage of Elimination

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which France is eliminated. If France wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If France is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by France based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.