Part of: Noche UFC: Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)

Noche UFC: Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)

This market will resolve to "Alexa Grasso" if Alexa Grasso is officially declared the winner of the fight against Manon Fiorot at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026. It will resolve to "Manon Fiorot" if Manon Fiorot is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 26, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $17,840.

Categories: Sports, UFC, Games

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor scales into Grasso

A highly profitable, serial cross-market bettor added substantially to an existing Alexa Grasso position at 72¢ amid an enormous volume spike and sharp price move.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $436,328 lifetime.
  • They added $2,376 to an existing Grasso position at 72¢, signaling increased conviction rather than routine profit-taking.
  • Market volume spiked 755× its historical average while Grasso moved up 21 percentage points to 93%.

$2,376 on Alexa Grasso | Wallet win rate: 92%

Sharp bettor scaling into Grasso

A proven sharp bettor added to an existing Alexa Grasso position at 66¢ just before an extreme volume spike and 21-point price surge.

  • This bettor wins 85% of 479 resolved trades and has earned $24,118, with a substantial edge over the odds paid.
  • They added $1,439.90 to Alexa Grasso at 66¢, reinforcing an existing position rather than merely taking profits.
  • The trade coincided with a 755x historical volume spike and Grasso’s price rising to 93%.

$1,440 on Alexa Grasso | Wallet win rate: 85%

Profitable sharp scales into Grasso

A proven bettor with an 82% win rate and $52,750 lifetime profit added substantially to Alexa Grasso at 72¢ before a major market repricing.

  • This bettor has won 82% of 720 resolved trades and is up $52,750 lifetime.
  • They added $1,868 to an existing Grasso position at 72¢, showing increased conviction before the price reached 93%.
  • The market saw a 755x historical volume spike alongside a 21-point rise for Grasso.

$1,868 on Alexa Grasso | Wallet win rate: 83%

Sharp wallets scaling into Grasso

Four wallets bought Alexa Grasso together, including two highly profitable bettors with strong odds-adjusted records, though the market has already moved sharply to 88%.

  • Four wallets bought Alexa Grasso for $6,664, with three adding to existing positions rather than making routine exits.
  • Two bettors stand out: one wins 89% of 87 trades at an average 60% entry, while another wins 85% of 479 trades at 62%.
  • Grasso has surged from roughly 31–43% to 88%, so the trade is compelling to study but chasing above 78¢ is unattractive.

$6,664 on Alexa Grasso

Profitable bettor backs Fiorot

A profitable serial trader added to a sizable four-wallet Fiorot position during an extreme volume spike, although the market has since moved sharply against the trade.

  • Four wallets bought Manon Fiorot for a combined $46,409 during a 1,274x historical volume spike.
  • This bettor has won 71% of 269 resolved trades and is up $86,384 lifetime.
  • The $1,082 addition came at 38¢, but Fiorot has since fallen to 12¢, making this a high-risk contrarian position rather than a confirmed momentum trade.

$1,082 on Manon Fiorot | Wallet win rate: 73%

92-0 serial bettor adds to Manon

A highly successful serial bettor with a 92-0 record is adding $4,410 to an existing Manon Fiorot position at market price.

  • This bettor has won 92 of 92 resolved positions, with a $202,476 profit and average winning entry of 54%.
  • They added $4,410 to an existing Manon Fiorot position, bringing total investment to $10,710.
  • The trade represents 57% of the market’s 24-hour volume, showing substantial conviction despite the thin market.

$4,410 on Manon Fiorot | Wallet win rate: 100%

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Noche UFC: Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)

Alexa Grasso
100¢
Manon Fiorot
0¢

This market will resolve to "Alexa Grasso" if Alexa Grasso is officially declared the winner of the fight against Manon Fiorot at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026. It will resolve to "Manon Fiorot" if Manon Fiorot is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 26, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Notable Trades

Noche UFC: Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)

2026-09-12 22:47 UTC

$2,376 on Alexa Grasso at 72¢

72¢→100¢↑28¢

Noche UFC: Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)

2026-09-12 22:39 UTC

$1,440 on Alexa Grasso at 66¢

66¢→100¢↑34¢

Noche UFC: Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)

2026-09-12 22:47 UTC

$1,868 on Alexa Grasso at 72¢

72¢→100¢↑28¢

Noche UFC: Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)

2026-09-12 22:31 UTC

$6,664 on Alexa Grasso at 68¢

68¢→100¢↑32¢

Noche UFC: Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)

2026-09-12 22:39 UTC

$1,082 on Manon Fiorot at 38¢

Noche UFC: Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)

2026-09-11 10:35 UTC

$4,410 on Manon Fiorot at 70¢

Related Theses