Part of: What will Trump post this week? (June 23 - 28)

Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between June 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and June 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count. Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.) Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count. Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trump's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $23,361.

Categories: Trump, politcs, Mentions, Truth Social

Notable Trades

Linked wallets buying YES

Three wallets, including a $1.2M profitable serial trader and two linked accounts, bought Yes before a sharp move from the mid-80s to 94%.

  • A serial cross-market bettor with $1.2M in lifetime profit is part of this Yes cluster.
  • Three wallets bought the same side for $8.6K, with two wallets sharing a funder.
  • They entered at 85–89¢ before Yes jumped to 94%, matching a strong 1-day price move.

$8,624 on Yes

90% winner buys NO

A highly proven cross-market trader with a 90% resolved win rate and $332k lifetime profit is taking the contrarian NO side after Yes surged.

  • This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $332k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with $300k flagged across 42 markets.
  • They bought NO at 20¢ after Yes jumped 37 points in a day, making this a sharp contrarian entry.

$5,258 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%

$1.2M-profit serial bettor

Profitable high-volume serial trader bought Yes before a major move from 85¢ to 94¢, with a linked-wallet signal adding corroboration.

  • This bettor is up about $1.2M lifetime across $64M traded.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 179 markets.
  • Bought Yes at 85¢ before the market moved to 94¢.

$2,394 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 58%

90% winner buys NO

A highly proven cross-market trader with a 90% resolved win rate and $332k lifetime profit is taking the contrarian NO side after Yes surged.

  • This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $332k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with $300k flagged across 42 markets.
  • They bought NO at 20¢ after Yes jumped 37 points in a day, making this a sharp contrarian entry.

$3,042 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%

90% winner fading Yes

A highly proven cross-market bettor with a 90% record and $332k lifetime profit bought $4k of No in a relatively thin market, making this a strong sharp-wallet signal.

  • This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $332,581 lifetime.
  • They bought $4,042 of No at 20¢, a large bet versus recent quiet volume.
  • This wallet has traded 41 related markets across 35 events, suggesting a repeatable edge.

$4,042 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%

Top Holders

  1. 0xf0d5...c665 No, $84,338 (90% win rate)
  2. 0x44c1...ebc1 Yes, $70,302 (58% win rate)
  3. 0xc84f...e0c5 Yes, $68,770 (87% win rate)
  4. 0xf767...61df No, $60,961 (80% win rate)
  5. 0x347b...c9bc No, $20,000
  6. 0xe397...bfcb Yes, $15,714 (85% win rate)
  7. 0x614d...1546 Yes, $12,500 (67% win rate)
  8. 0x0562...9d66 No, $10,236 (40% win rate)
  9. 0x7c3d...5c6b Yes, $6,563 (48% win rate)
  10. 0xcd71...d127 Yes, $6,146 (80% win rate)

Related Theses

Iran deal arrives late

Covers 2 related markets

No Iran deal by June

Covers 1 related market

Hormuz traffic stays disrupted

Covers 1 related market

Trump stays president through 2026

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Trump stays silent on UFC

Covers 1 related market

Raman and Pratt won’t win

Covers 2 related markets

US-Iran deal by late May

Covers 6 related markets

GameStop won't acquire eBay

Covers 1 related market

Equatorial Guinea and Comoros draw

Covers 1 related market

Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?

ResolvedWhat will Trump post this week? (June 23 - 28)$23,361 tracked5 signalsTrumppolitcsMentionsTruth Social
Yes
100¢
No
0¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between June 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and June 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count. Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.) Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count. Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trump's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.

Price History — “Yes
102¢
74¢
47¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?

3d ago

$8,624 on Yes at 87¢

87¢100¢13¢

Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?

3d ago

$5,258 on No at 20¢

20¢0¢20¢

Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?

3d ago

$2,394 on Yes at 85¢

85¢100¢15¢

Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?

3d ago

$3,042 on No at 20¢

20¢0¢20¢

Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?

3d ago

$4,042 on No at 20¢

20¢0¢20¢

Related Theses