Part of: National Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldi
National Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldi
This prediction market covers the National Bank Open tennis match between Tallon Griekspoor and Matteo Arnaldi, scheduled for August 7, 2026. It resolves to the player who advances, with the market page showing current odds and smart money activity ahead of the match.
12 smart money signals detected, totaling $220,652.
Categories: Sports, Tennis, Games
Notable Trades
96% winner backs Griekspoor
A highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate made a nearly $58.5K contrarian sell of Arnaldi, equivalent to buying Griekspoor around 30%, amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 173 of 180 resolved trades, with $6.94M in lifetime profit.
- The $58,495 position converts to buying Tallon Griekspoor at roughly 30%, despite the market pricing him near 28%.
- Trading volume was 121 times its historical average, while Arnaldi’s odds fell 30% over the day.
$4,241 on Tallon Griekspoor | Wallet win rate: 96%
34-0 bettor adds to Arnaldi
A proven 34-0 sports bettor is adding $1,907 to Matteo Arnaldi at 36%, despite already holding a substantial position.
- This bettor has won all 34 resolved positions, earning $42,074 while buying at an average 59% price.
- The wallet added $1,907 to Matteo Arnaldi at 36% and already has $5,298 invested in the same outcome.
- Arnaldi is priced as a 36% chance, offering substantial upside if this highly successful bettor's edge persists.
$4,866 on Matteo Arnaldi | Wallet win rate: 97%
96% winner backs Griekspoor
A highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate made a nearly $58.5K contrarian sell of Arnaldi, equivalent to buying Griekspoor around 30%, amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 173 of 180 resolved trades, with $6.94M in lifetime profit.
- The $58,495 position converts to buying Tallon Griekspoor at roughly 30%, despite the market pricing him near 28%.
- Trading volume was 121 times its historical average, while Arnaldi’s odds fell 30% over the day.
$11,000 on Tallon Griekspoor | Wallet win rate: 96%
Three elite bettors fade Arnaldi
Three highly profitable bettors sold $64.5K of Arnaldi around 70–73%, with a 60.6x volume surge and the market subsequently falling to 56%.
- Two bettors win 96–97% of their trades, while the third wins 78% across 995 resolved positions.
- The coordinated $64,514 sell cluster arrived during a 60.6x volume spike, and Arnaldi’s price has since dropped from roughly 70% to 56%.
- Their sales imply buying Tallon Griekspoor near 30%, a substantial discount to the current 44% market price.
$64,514 on Tallon Griekspoor
96% winner backs Griekspoor
A highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate made a nearly $58.5K contrarian sell of Arnaldi, equivalent to buying Griekspoor around 30%, amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 173 of 180 resolved trades, with $6.94M in lifetime profit.
- The $58,495 position converts to buying Tallon Griekspoor at roughly 30%, despite the market pricing him near 28%.
- Trading volume was 121 times its historical average, while Arnaldi’s odds fell 30% over the day.
$58,495 on Tallon Griekspoor | Wallet win rate: 96%
Elite bettor makes 30x-volume tennis bet
A highly profitable, proven bettor with an 84% win rate and substantial positive edge made a concentrated $24,297 bet in a market with only $807 in daily volume.
- This bettor wins 84% of 379 resolved positions and is up $4.6 million lifetime.
- The $24,297 position is roughly 30 times the market’s 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction on Tallon Griekspoor.
- The entry at 60¢ implies the bettor sees meaningful value despite Griekspoor already trading as the 60% favorite.
$20,000 on Tallon Griekspoor | Wallet win rate: 84%
96% winner backs Griekspoor
A highly profitable 96% win-rate bettor made a $58.5K equivalent bet on Tallon Griekspoor, alongside $25.6K of additional Tallon buying and a major volume spike.
- A bettor who wins 96% of 180 trades sold $58.5K of Arnaldi at 70%, equivalent to buying Griekspoor around 30%.
- Four wallets put $84.1K toward Griekspoor, including an 84% winner with $4.66M in lifetime profit.
- The market saw a 113x historical volume spike, although Griekspoor’s price has fallen 28% recently and some buyers are underwater.
$20,531 on Tallon Griekspoor
34-0 bettor adds to Arnaldi
A proven 34-0 sports bettor is adding $1,907 to Matteo Arnaldi at 36%, despite already holding a substantial position.
- This bettor has won all 34 resolved positions, earning $42,074 while buying at an average 59% price.
- The wallet added $1,907 to Matteo Arnaldi at 36% and already has $5,298 invested in the same outcome.
- Arnaldi is priced as a 36% chance, offering substantial upside if this highly successful bettor's edge persists.
$2,217 on Matteo Arnaldi | Wallet win rate: 97%
97% winner adds to Griekspoor
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 97% win rate and substantial edge is adding to a Tallon Griekspoor position.
- This bettor has won 32 of 33 resolved trades, earning $127,750 while entering at an average winning price of 55%.
- They are adding $7,584 to an existing Griekspoor position at 67¢, signaling continued conviction.
- The 32-event track record makes this more compelling than a routine large bet in a liquid market.
$7,584 on Tallon Griekspoor | Wallet win rate: 97%
34-0 bettor adds to Arnaldi
A proven 34-0 sports bettor is adding $1,907 to Matteo Arnaldi at 36%, despite already holding a substantial position.
- This bettor has won all 34 resolved positions, earning $42,074 while buying at an average 59% price.
- The wallet added $1,907 to Matteo Arnaldi at 36% and already has $5,298 invested in the same outcome.
- Arnaldi is priced as a 36% chance, offering substantial upside if this highly successful bettor's edge persists.
$1,907 on Matteo Arnaldi | Wallet win rate: 97%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 76376695, $68,666 (63% win rate)
- 0xc430...1ebf — Outcome 76376695, $50,519 (96% win rate)
- 0xf958...db13 — Outcome 76376695, $15,944 (43% win rate)
- 0xe524...d34f — Outcome 76376695, $13,948 (53% win rate)
- 0xbc72...c9d0 — Outcome 76376695, $7,317 (97% win rate)
- 0x9f15...bdb3 — Outcome 76376695, $7,037 (71% win rate)
- 0x7e5e...7315 — Outcome 76376695, $7,000 (48% win rate)
- 0x6e47...5c64 — Outcome 76376695, $5,075
- 0x86f4...bd70 — Outcome 76376695, $4,302 (93% win rate)
- 0x4be1...aa70 — Outcome 76376695, $3,949 (64% win rate)
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