Part of: Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz
Set Handicap: Carlos Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Daniil Medvedev (+1.5)
This Polymarket tennis market covers the Erste Bank Open match between Carlos Alcaraz and Daniil Medvedev, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026. Alcaraz must win by at least two sets for his side to resolve as the winner; otherwise, the market resolves to Medvedev. Current odds are not included in the provided data, and the market is scheduled to resolve by November 7, 2026.
This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Alcaraz and Daniil Medvedev in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Carlos Alcaraz" if Carlos Alcaraz wins by 2 or more sets than Daniil Medvedev, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Daniil Medvedev." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Carlos Alcaraz can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Daniil Medvedev." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,500.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
New repeat bettor adding to Medvedev
A very new repeat bettor is adding to an existing Medvedev position with a $1,500 buy, though the wallet's perfect record is based on only two resolved bets.
- A wallet only 2 days old has made six flagged bets totaling $10,533 and is adding $1,500 to its Medvedev position.
- The bettor is 2-for-2 on resolved bets, but that small sample offers limited proof of an edge.
- The buy was at 65¢ while current odds are 57¢, so the market has moved against this entry.
$1,500 on Daniil Medvedev | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xb29b...d21b — Daniil Medvedev, $2,765 (100% win rate)
- 0x5c03...31bb — Daniil Medvedev, $1,024 (90% win rate)
- 0x5628...abbc — Daniil Medvedev, $415
- 0x7055...9717 — Daniil Medvedev, $398
- 0xfb07...e2cc — Daniil Medvedev, $393 (95% win rate)
- 0xc9c3...079f — Daniil Medvedev, $180
- 0x5c54...f1d2 — Daniil Medvedev, $163
- 0x36b3...e421 — Daniil Medvedev, $109 (56% win rate)
- 0x09b8...e5fe — Daniil Medvedev, $100
- 0x998b...f912 — Daniil Medvedev, $96
