Part of: UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)

UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)

17 smart money signals detected, totaling $170,793.

Categories: Sports, UFC, Games

Notable Trades

Sharp contrarian Jack cluster

Seven wallets bought $38k of Jack Della Maddalena, including multiple highly profitable bettors, though the market has since moved sharply against them and a larger Prates cluster is on the other side.

  • Three proven bettors are backing Jack, including one with 85% wins and $1.56M profit.
  • Seven wallets bought $38k of Jack around 49–54¢, while he now trades near 31¢.
  • Price action is against them and a larger linked cluster is backing Prates, making this a high-conviction contrarian setup.

$38,220 on Jack Della Maddalena

97% winner in 10-wallet push

Elite 97% win-rate wallet bought Carlos Prates at 50¢ alongside a 10-wallet one-sided cluster and major volume spike before the market moved to 100%.

  • This bettor has won 36 of 37 resolved positions and is up $24.5k lifetime.
  • 10 wallets bought Carlos Prates the same way, totaling $72.9k, with 4 wallets sharing a funder.
  • The market jumped from about 50¢ to 100% during a 42x volume spike.

$2,600 on Carlos Prates | Wallet win rate: 97%

10-wallet linked fight push

Strong coordinated one-sided UFC flow: 10 wallets bought Carlos Prates, including 4 linked wallets, alongside a 42x volume spike and a move from 51¢ to 100¢.

  • 10 wallets all bought the same fighter, totaling $72.9k, with 4 wallets sharing a funder.
  • Volume spiked 42x versus normal activity as the market moved sharply from 51¢ to 100¢.
  • The buyer is an experienced sports trader with 6,057 resolved bets and $11.6M previously invested.

$5,000 on Carlos Prates | Wallet win rate: 59%

10-wallet linked fight cluster

High-conviction one-sided flow from 10 wallets, including linked funding, bought Carlos Prates around 51¢ before the market moved to 100%.

  • 10 wallets all bought the same fighter, totaling $72.9K, with 4 wallets sharing a funder.
  • This wallet alone put $36.9K on Carlos Prates around 51¢ before the market moved to 100%.
  • The bettor has made $1.44M lifetime despite only winning 51% of resolved bets, suggesting large profitable hits.

$36,922 on Carlos Prates | Wallet win rate: 50%

Two 96% winners buying Prates

Strong UFC signal from a 4-wallet Prates buy cluster led by two highly profitable wallets with 96–97% historical records.

  • Two bettors in this cluster win 96–97% of their resolved bets and are up over $206k combined.
  • Four wallets bought $8.8k of Carlos Prates around 51¢, with two wallets sharing a funder.
  • One wallet has traded across 89 events with a 96% record, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.

$8,832 on Carlos Prates

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable high-volume cross-market bettor is buying Carlos Prates at 52¢, though the signal is moderate because the market is liquid and there is no major price move.

  • This bettor is up $434K lifetime across 217 resolved markets.
  • They have traded 107 events and won 60% of resolved bets.
  • Entry at 52¢ suggests they see Carlos Prates as slightly mispriced in a near-even fight.

$5,300 on Carlos Prates | Wallet win rate: 64%

Profitable UFC sharp backs Prates

A profitable sports bettor with a 79% record and nearly $3M in tracked profit bought Carlos Prates at 51¢, though the bet is modest in a very liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 79% of tracked bets and is up about $3.0M lifetime.
  • They bought Carlos Prates at 51¢, effectively taking a near coin-flip price.
  • The market is highly liquid, so this looks more like a sharp-follow signal than a whale conviction bet.

$4,296 on Carlos Prates | Wallet win rate: 81%

Profitable serial sports trader

Profitable high-volume sports trader bought Carlos Prates during a sharp pre-event volume surge, though the stake is modest relative to this liquid market.

  • This bettor has won 69% of 590 resolved bets and is up $23.7K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 402 events with over $1.0M invested, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process.
  • Market activity spiked 89.6x above its historical average as they bought Carlos Prates at 52¢.

$2,500 on Carlos Prates | Wallet win rate: 68%

Profitable serial bettor backing underdog

Large BUY from a highly profitable serial cross-market trader with 57% wins and $2.3M lifetime profit, despite a low composite score from only one signal.

  • This bettor has won 57% of 422 resolved bets and is up $2.3M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 276 events with nearly $7.9M in tracked volume.
  • Entry at 48¢ on a near-coinflip fight suggests they see value before the market moved toward 50¢.

$40,863 on Jack Della Maddalena | Wallet win rate: 58%

Profitable UFC sharp backs Prates

Profitable sports bettor with a strong 79% track record and nearly $3M P&L bought $17k of Carlos Prates at 52¢.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up about $3.0M lifetime.
  • They bought $17.4k of Carlos Prates at 52¢, a meaningful UFC position from a proven wallet.
  • Entry at 52¢ implies they see Prates as better than a coin flip despite a fairly liquid market.

$17,359 on Carlos Prates | Wallet win rate: 81%

Top Holders

  1. 0xf438...9559 Outcome 60240582, $99,946 (42% win rate)
  2. 0x777d...5143 Outcome 60240582, $91,392 (58% win rate)
  3. 0x8f8c...e275 Outcome 60240582, $78,062 (72% win rate)
  4. 0x05a7...42e6 Outcome 60240582, $12,747 (100% win rate)
  5. 0x9c1c...7980 Outcome 60240582, $11,608 (65% win rate)
  6. 0x27f7...44b0 Outcome 60240582, $7,155 (87% win rate)
  7. 0x187b...26bf Outcome 60240582, $7,000 (46% win rate)
  8. 0x2aab...2ca3 Outcome 60240582, $6,795 (70% win rate)
  9. 0x703d...b75d Outcome 60240582, $6,510 (100% win rate)
  10. 0xc0fd...a0a9 Outcome 60240582, $5,940 (71% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)

This market will resolve to "Carlos Prates" if Carlos Prates is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jack Della Maddalena at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026. It will resolve to "Jack Della Maddalena" if Jack Della Maddalena is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Notable Trades

UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)

10d ago

$38,220 on Jack Della Maddalena at 52¢

UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)

10d ago

$2,600 on Carlos Prates at 50¢

UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)

10d ago

$5,000 on Carlos Prates at 51¢

UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)

10d ago

$36,922 on Carlos Prates at 51¢

UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)

10d ago

$8,832 on Carlos Prates at 51¢

UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)

10d ago

$5,300 on Carlos Prates at 52¢

UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)

10d ago

$4,296 on Carlos Prates at 51¢

UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)

11d ago

$2,500 on Carlos Prates at 52¢

UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)

11d ago

$40,863 on Jack Della Maddalena at 48¢

UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)

11d ago

$17,359 on Carlos Prates at 52¢

UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)

12d ago

$1,488 on Jack Della Maddalena at 48¢

UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)

14d ago

$1,100 on Jack Della Maddalena at 48¢

UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)

14d ago

$1,342 on Carlos Prates at 52¢

UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)

14d ago

$1,342 on Carlos Prates at 52¢

UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)

14d ago

$1,342 on Carlos Prates at 52¢

UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)

15d ago

$1,183 on Carlos Prates at 53¢

UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)

16d ago

$1,104 on Jack Della Maddalena at 48¢

Related Theses