Part of: World Cup Group D Winner
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
This prediction market asks whether the United States will win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11–27, 2026. It resolves based on the official FIFA group standings and tiebreakers, or to “Other” if no group winner is declared by the specified deadline. PolySpotter is tracking $11,560 in smart money across 2 signals, including recent whale momentum and strong Yes-side buying.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $13,060.
Categories: Soccer, Sports, world cup, FIFA World Cup, Group Futures, 2026 FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
New whale riding momentum
A 1-day-old repeat large bettor is putting $5.9k on USA to win the group amid a 20-point price move, suggesting fresh conviction despite no resolved track record yet.
- A 1-day-old wallet has now been flagged 3 times, with about $12k in large bets.
- This $5.9k buy is meaningful relative to the market’s $17k liquidity.
- USA’s odds have jumped about 20 points in the past day, and this bettor is adding into that move.
$5,660 on Yes
New whale riding momentum
A 1-day-old repeat large bettor is putting $5.9k on USA to win the group amid a 20-point price move, suggesting fresh conviction despite no resolved track record yet.
- A 1-day-old wallet has now been flagged 3 times, with about $12k in large bets.
- This $5.9k buy is meaningful relative to the market’s $17k liquidity.
- USA’s odds have jumped about 20 points in the past day, and this bettor is adding into that move.
$5,900 on Yes
90% winner buying Yes
Surface despite the weak alert score because the buyer is a proven sharp wallet with a 90% resolved-bet win rate and positive lifetime P&L.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $21,080 lifetime.
- They put $1,500 on Yes at 39¢, implying they see USA as undervalued to win the group.
- The market is liquid enough to copy with a tight 2¢ spread.
$1,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $46,522
- 0x1341...0853 — No, $35,481 (87% win rate)
- 0xd218...b5c9 — Yes, $25,880 (50% win rate)
- 0xc021...1fa8 — Yes, $20,247 (53% win rate)
- 0x8fba...d08a — No, $10,000 (51% win rate)
- 0x032e...2a9e — Yes, $8,199 (76% win rate)
- 0xefac...c9a1 — Yes, $7,381 (57% win rate)
- 0xde04...fa37 — Yes, $6,783 (49% win rate)
- 0xa208...20a2 — Yes, $5,263
- 0x6a32...0086 — No, $5,000 (79% win rate)
