Part of: World Cup Group D Winner
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $55,355.
Categories: Soccer, Sports, world cup, FIFA World Cup, Group Futures, 2026 FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Repeat whale buying momentum
A repeat large bettor with positive lifetime P&L bought nearly $20k of Yes at 90¢ during a 58x volume spike and sharp upward price momentum.
- This repeat large bettor is up $79k lifetime and added $19.8k at 90¢.
- Market activity spiked 58x above normal as Yes jumped 20 points in 24 hours.
- The 90¢ entry is expensive, but the size suggests strong conviction in the move.
$9,715 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 63%
Repeat whale buying momentum
A repeat large bettor with positive lifetime P&L bought nearly $20k of Yes at 90¢ during a 58x volume spike and sharp upward price momentum.
- This repeat large bettor is up $79k lifetime and added $19.8k at 90¢.
- Market activity spiked 58x above normal as Yes jumped 20 points in 24 hours.
- The 90¢ entry is expensive, but the size suggests strong conviction in the move.
$19,819 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 63%
Profitable repeat wallet chasing momentum
A repeat-flagged, profitable wallet bought $10.1k of Yes at 90¢ amid a 43.5x volume spike and strong upward price momentum.
- This repeat-flagged bettor is up $79k lifetime and added $10.1k at 90¢.
- The market has seen a 43.5x volume spike, with odds up 20.5 points in the past day.
- Buying at 90¢ suggests they see USA as nearly locked to win the group.
$10,104 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 63%
80% winner buying favorite
A highly proven 80% win-rate wallet with $617k lifetime profit bought Yes at 80¢ and has extensive cross-market history, making the wallet itself a strong copy-trade signal.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $617k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $2.2M deployed across 823 markets.
- Bought Yes at 80¢ before the market moved to 83¢, with odds up 14.5 points today.
$2,657 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%
New whale riding momentum
A 1-day-old repeat large bettor is putting $5.9k on USA to win the group amid a 20-point price move, suggesting fresh conviction despite no resolved track record yet.
- A 1-day-old wallet has now been flagged 3 times, with about $12k in large bets.
- This $5.9k buy is meaningful relative to the market’s $17k liquidity.
- USA’s odds have jumped about 20 points in the past day, and this bettor is adding into that move.
$5,660 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 55%
New whale riding momentum
A 1-day-old repeat large bettor is putting $5.9k on USA to win the group amid a 20-point price move, suggesting fresh conviction despite no resolved track record yet.
- A 1-day-old wallet has now been flagged 3 times, with about $12k in large bets.
- This $5.9k buy is meaningful relative to the market’s $17k liquidity.
- USA’s odds have jumped about 20 points in the past day, and this bettor is adding into that move.
$5,900 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 55%
90% winner buying Yes
Surface despite the weak alert score because the buyer is a proven sharp wallet with a 90% resolved-bet win rate and positive lifetime P&L.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $21,080 lifetime.
- They put $1,500 on Yes at 39¢, implying they see USA as undervalued to win the group.
- The market is liquid enough to copy with a tight 2¢ spread.
$1,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 78730716, $170,766
- 0x1341...0853 — Outcome 78730716, $35,481 (85% win rate)
- 0x6a32...0086 — Outcome 78730716, $5,000 (83% win rate)
- 0x7236...ea53 — Outcome 78730716, $3,200 (88% win rate)
- 0x87f9...9d8e — Outcome 78730716, $2,736
- 0x8575...87fe — Outcome 78730716, $2,452
- 0xa8fe...3ee3 — Outcome 78730716, $2,000 (60% win rate)
- 0x40d0...4415 — Outcome 78730716, $1,894 (92% win rate)
- 0xe83c...5e8f — Outcome 78730716, $1,613 (55% win rate)
- 0x47c7...cac7 — Outcome 78730716, $1,472 (94% win rate)
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