Part of: US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton
Game Spread: Shelton (-4.5) vs Tiafoe (+4.5)
This tennis prediction market covers whether Ben Shelton will beat Frances Tiafoe by at least 4.5 total games on September 11, 2026. Games are counted across all sets, including tiebreak rules, and recent smart money signals have backed Tiafoe. The market is scheduled to resolve on September 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Shelton" if Ben Shelton wins 4.5 or more total games than Frances Tiafoe in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Tiafoe". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play. For example, if the match ends at a point where Ben Shelton could no longer have finished 4.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Tiafoe". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $26,416.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Proven sharp backs Tiafoe
A highly proven bettor with 1,513 resolved positions and a substantial edge is making a fresh $1,688 wager on Tiafoe.
- This bettor wins 84% of 1,513 resolved positions and is up $2.17 million.
- The $1,688 Tiafoe position comes from a serial trader active across 188 events and 191 markets.
- Tiafoe was bought at 53¢, below the current 55% market price.
$1,688 on Tiafoe | Wallet win rate: 84%
92% winner backs Tiafoe
A highly experienced bettor with a 92% win rate and $1.5M profit made a concentrated $4.7K purchase of Tiafoe in a thinly traded market.
- This bettor has won 92% of 380 resolved positions and is up $1.5 million.
- They placed a concentrated $4,728 bet on Tiafoe, more than three times the market's 24-hour volume.
- The wallet has traded across 481 events, providing unusually strong evidence of repeatable skill.
$20,000 on Tiafoe | Wallet win rate: 92%
92% winner backs Tiafoe
A highly experienced bettor with a 92% win rate and $1.5M profit made a concentrated $4.7K purchase of Tiafoe in a thinly traded market.
- This bettor has won 92% of 380 resolved positions and is up $1.5 million.
- They placed a concentrated $4,728 bet on Tiafoe, more than three times the market's 24-hour volume.
- The wallet has traded across 481 events, providing unusually strong evidence of repeatable skill.
$4,728 on Tiafoe | Wallet win rate: 92%
Top Holders
- 0xf559...f462 — Tiafoe, $46,928 (92% win rate)
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Shelton, $23,432 (81% win rate)
- 0x45e4...7e20 — Shelton, $16,000 (52% win rate)
- 0x21f3...35e3 — Shelton, $8,006 (74% win rate)
- 0x3e04...564d — Tiafoe, $5,000 (84% win rate)
- 0x4483...c565 — Tiafoe, $2,641 (56% win rate)
- 0x6d3c...d294 — Shelton, $2,263 (58% win rate)
- 0x33bc...37dc — Shelton, $1,500 (62% win rate)
- 0x97c3...51d5 — Shelton, $1,111
- 0x8532...738b — Shelton, $1,010 (50% win rate)
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