Part of: Madrid Open: Joao Fonseca vs Rafael Jodar
Madrid Open: Joao Fonseca vs Rafael Jodar
17 smart money signals detected, totaling $101,743.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
92% win-rate sports bettor
A highly proven sports bettor with a 92% win rate sold Rafael Jodar at 81¢, which translates to buying Joao Fonseca around 19¢ against a heavily favored field.
- This bettor wins 92% of their resolved trades and is up $68.5k on $527k invested
- They have a long repeatable pattern across 479 events and 539 markets, not a one-off hot streak
- Selling Rafael Jodar at 81¢ is equivalent to buying Joao Fonseca around 19¢, a cheap underdog entry if following the same view
$1,287 on Joao Fonseca | Wallet win rate: 92%
97% win-rate sports bettor
A proven sharp sports trader with a 97% win rate bought Rafael Jodar before a coordinated move that pushed the price from 50¢ to 78¢, making this a strong follow signal despite the modest ticket size.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $44.7k on $104k invested
- They bought Rafael Jodar at 50¢, and the market has already moved to 78¢ after a fast one-sided surge
- Three wallets piled into the same side for $15.5k total as volume ran 26x above normal
$1,680 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 97%
Sharp bettor reloading under 50¢
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 72% win rate reopened Rafael Jodar at 47¢ after previously closing higher, suggesting fresh conviction on a liquid match with unusual volume and a sharp price move.
- This bettor has won 72% of 3,518 resolved trades and is up $6.4M lifetime
- They reopened Rafael Jodar at 47¢ after previously trading this side much higher, showing fresh conviction at a better price
- The market saw a 14.2x volume spike and an 11-point move in minutes, so this entry came during unusually active price discovery
$2,060 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 70%
Sharp bettor re-entering
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 72% win rate reopened Rafael Jodar after previously closing a large position, suggesting renewed conviction despite the modest size.
- This bettor has won 2,548 of 3,518 resolved trades and is up $6.4M lifetime
- They reopened Rafael Jodar after previously closing a much larger position on this same market, which points to a fresh view rather than routine profit-taking
- The buy came around 51¢ in a very active market after a quick 11-point drop, giving a near-even entry
$1,042 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 70%
5-wallet Joao cluster
Coordinated buying hit Joao Fonseca across 5 wallets during a sharp volume spike, and this wallet is part of a very active cross-market trader pattern even if its own edge looks modest.
- 5 wallets piled into Joao Fonseca together for $11.4k, a strong one-sided signal on this match
- This trade was a sell of Rafael Jodar at 67¢, which is equivalent to buying Joao Fonseca at 33¢
- Market volume jumped 25x versus normal and the price moved fast, suggesting fresh conviction rather than routine trading
$2,826 on Joao Fonseca | Wallet win rate: 68%
Sharp cluster buying Fonseca
Five wallets piled into Joao Fonseca, including a 92% win-rate bettor and another serial cross-market wallet, catching a sharp repricing from 27-29¢ up to 42¢ during a major volume spike.
- A 5-wallet cluster bought Joao Fonseca for $11.4k, with entries as low as 27-29¢ before the price jumped to 42¢
- One wallet wins 92% of resolved bets and is up about $592k, while another serial trader has a 92% win rate across 35 events
- The move came during a 19.6x volume spike and an 18-point price swing, showing coordinated conviction rather than a routine bet
$11,425 on Joao Fonseca
Linked new wallet cluster
A repeat new wallet with early profits joined a small linked cluster all betting Rafael Jodar, and the alert is supported by one-sided flow plus a meaningful price move.
- This 15-day-old wallet has already been flagged 19 times and is up $7.5k despite limited history.
- Three wallets all lined up on Rafael Jodar, with two sharing a funder and $4.3k of same-side flow.
- This trade sold Fonseca at 28¢, which translates to buying Jodar around 72¢, and the market has already moved sharply.
$1,430 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 60%
92% win-rate sports sharp
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 92% win rate just bought Joao Fonseca at 29¢ into a sharp down move, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market being liquid.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up about $592k lifetime.
- They have made 35 similar event bets with the same 92% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off punt.
- They bought Joao Fonseca at 29¢ after a 17-point one-day drop, implying they see the selloff as overdone.
$4,894 on Joao Fonseca | Wallet win rate: 88%
Sharp bettor re-entering winner
A highly profitable high-volume sports trader re-entered Rafael Jodar at 45¢ after previously closing a position, and the market has since moved sharply in their favor to 62%.
- This bettor wins 72% of resolved trades and is up $6.4M across 3,517 settled markets
- They bought Rafael Jodar at 45¢ and the market is now 62%, a fast 17-point move in their favor
- This is a fresh re-entry after closing an earlier position, which suggests renewed conviction rather than routine profit-taking
$8,212 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 70%
Profitable new wallet piling in
A fast-growing new wallet with early profits joined a 3-wallet one-sided push into Joao Fonseca during a sharp volume and price spike, making this a credible momentum-conviction signal.
- This 15-day-old wallet has already been flagged 17 times, is up $7.5k, and added another $4.1k on Joao Fonseca.
- Three wallets bought the same side for $7.7k total as match volume ran 24x above normal and Fonseca jumped 11 points in minutes.
- The bettor entered around 58¢, suggesting they still saw value before the market moved to 60¢.
$4,084 on Joao Fonseca | Wallet win rate: 60%
Top Holders
- 0xe30e...6b87 — Outcome 54878160, $60,414 (88% win rate)
- 0x84cb...28ad — Outcome 54878160, $19,909 (99% win rate)
- 0xba81...dc35 — Outcome 54878160, $18,356 (93% win rate)
- 0x1420...9daa — Outcome 54878160, $12,203 (68% win rate)
- 0x138d...b23e — Outcome 54878160, $9,000
- 0x33c9...6f9a — Outcome 54878160, $7,865 (77% win rate)
- 0xfb85...8464 — Outcome 54878160, $6,278 (78% win rate)
- 0x90ba...63f3 — Outcome 54878160, $5,067 (79% win rate)
- 0xec5b...aff2 — Outcome 54878160, $4,277 (42% win rate)
- 0xd4aa...d40c — Outcome 54878160, $4,215
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