Part of: LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner
This market refers to the LoL match between Ultra Prime and ThunderTalk Gaming in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for April 15 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Ultra Prime" if Ultra Prime win Game 2 against ThunderTalk Gaming. This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win Game 2 against Ultra Prime. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,565.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
3-wallet esports steam move
Three wallets piled into ThunderTalk in minutes at 44-57¢ and immediately moved the price to 82%, with one wallet showing a solid 65% hit rate across 39 related markets.
- Three wallets bought ThunderTalk within minutes at 44-57¢, and the price jumped to 82% right after.
- One of the bettors wins 65% of trades across 39 related markets and is up $72k, suggesting this was not random flow.
- The best entry was 44¢, which now looks far below the market and signals strong conviction on the game result.
$4,571 on ThunderTalk Gaming
5-wallet esports cluster
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor joined a 5-wallet one-sided cluster buying Ultra Prime during a major pre-match volume spike, making this coordinated esports flow worth watching despite the modest standalone win rate.
- 5 wallets all bought Ultra Prime, totaling $8.2k in the same direction
- This wallet is an active bettor with 676 resolved trades and $75k profit
- The market saw a 490x volume spike before the match, suggesting concentrated pre-event positioning
$2,040 on Ultra Prime | Wallet win rate: 66%
5-wallet UP cluster
Five wallets piled into Ultra Prime during a huge pre-match volume spike, and this wallet is a highly active cross-market bettor with a large enough sample to make the coordinated flow worth watching despite the modest stake.
- Five wallets all bought Ultra Prime, putting $8.2k on the same side in a coordinated burst
- This bettor has 930 resolved trades, wins 57% of them, and is up $33.8k lifetime
- They entered at 50¢ during a 490x volume spike, while Ultra Prime now trades at 38¢
$985 on Ultra Prime | Wallet win rate: 80%
Sharp bettor in thin market
A proven profitable bettor with a 75% win rate made a nearly $2k buy that dwarfs volume in an otherwise very quiet LoL market.
- This bettor wins 75% of their trades and is up $51k across 137 resolved markets
- They bought $1,969 of Ultra Prime at 49¢ in a market that had only $268 of 24h volume
- Entry near 49¢ suggests they see a mispriced coin-flip in a quiet market
$1,969 on Ultra Prime | Wallet win rate: 75%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ea...d96a — Ultra Prime, $18,061 (62% win rate)
- 0xc903...b175 — Ultra Prime, $4,019 (75% win rate)
- 0x70c1...dba0 — Ultra Prime, $4,001 (92% win rate)
- 0xb8cb...8f46 — Ultra Prime, $2,977 (57% win rate)
- 0x7a0f...1305 — Ultra Prime, $2,121 (91% win rate)
- 0xf02f...1ed8 — Ultra Prime, $1,856 (82% win rate)
- 0xce08...510b — Ultra Prime, $814 (76% win rate)
- 0x0659...d74d — Ultra Prime, $687 (74% win rate)
- 0x5809...9868 — Ultra Prime, $500 (71% win rate)
- 0x664b...17e0 — Ultra Prime, $499
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