Part of: Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

This prediction market asks whether Anthropic’s most recent public or private valuation will exceed OpenAI’s at any point by December 31, 2026. It focuses on confirmed public market values or completed private funding-round valuations, with $6,692 in tracked smart money and recent Yes buying from high-win-rate traders.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,692.

Categories: Finance, AI, Economy, Claude, Tech, chatgpt, gpt, GPT-5.5

Notable Trades

92% winner buying Yes

Although the alert score is low, the wallet has a strong resolved record and is adding $5.4k to Yes on a real valuation market.

  • This bettor has won 12 of 13 resolved trades, with a small lifetime profit across $36.7k invested.
  • They bought $5.4k of Yes in four chunks at 89¢, showing repeated conviction rather than a one-off fill.
  • The market is liquid enough to follow, and the 2-point daily move supports their direction.

$5,372 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%

Sharp 86% winner buys Yes

Sharp wallet with an 86% resolved-bet win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Yes, with the trade representing a large share of recent market volume.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved bets and is up about $4,000 lifetime.
  • They bought $1,320 of Yes at 88¢, adding conviction despite the outcome already being heavily favored.
  • The trade was about 60% of recent 24h volume, making it a meaningful bet in a relatively quiet market.

$1,320 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%

Top Holders

  1. 0x4047...7293 — Outcome 20662339, $10,956 (55% win rate)
  2. 0x7804...7025 — Outcome 20662339, $10,001 (71% win rate)
  3. 0x8b6a...a086 — Outcome 20662339, $10,000
  4. 0x0734...18df — Outcome 20662339, $4,373
  5. 0x3f73...acef — Outcome 20662339, $4,157
  6. 0x2f63...f247 — Outcome 20662339, $2,398 (84% win rate)
  7. 0x03b3...9aaf — Outcome 20662339, $2,250
  8. 0x68db...e12b — Outcome 20662339, $1,700
  9. 0x82ae...4325 — Outcome 20662339, $1,249
  10. 0x56c2...6219 — Outcome 20662339, $1,000

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

206dAnthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?$6,692 tracked2 signalsFinanceAIEconomyClaudeTechchatgptgptGPT-5.5

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price). The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

22d ago

$5,372 on Yes at 89¢

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

22d ago

$1,320 on Yes at 88¢