Part of: LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $28,041.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable serial esports trader

A highly profitable serial esports trader flipped from Disguised into Shopify Rebellion and immediately caught a major price move to 100%.

This bettor has won 72% of 765 resolved bets and is up $456k lifetime.
They have traded 193 markets across 110 events, showing a deep repeat pattern in this niche.
They flipped off Disguised and bought Shopify at 89¢ before the market moved to 100¢.

$3,406 on Shopify Rebellion | Wallet win rate: 71%

84% winner on esports surge

A highly profitable 84% win-rate esports bettor bought Shopify Rebellion at 85¢ alongside a major price move and volume spike.

This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $60K lifetime.
They have a long cross-market track record: 34 events, 36 markets, and $80K traded.
The buy came during a 15.5x volume spike and helped push Shopify Rebellion up 34 points.

$3,931 on Shopify Rebellion | Wallet win rate: 87%

Profitable serial esports trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader bought Shopify Rebellion at 85¢ before a sharp move to 100¢ amid a 15.5x volume spike.

This bettor is up $403K lifetime across more than 1,600 resolved markets.
They bought Shopify Rebellion at 85¢ before the price jumped to 100¢.
The market saw a 15.5x volume spike and a 34-point move in the same direction.

$1,499 on Shopify Rebellion | Wallet win rate: 59%

Sharp 5-wallet esports push

High-conviction one-sided Shopify Rebellion flow from five wallets, including several profitable serial sports/esports traders, drove a major pre-event price move.

Five wallets put $12.3K on Shopify Rebellion in the same direction, with the market up 14 points over the day.
Several bettors have strong records, including one up $456K lifetime and another winning 81% of 139 resolved bets.
This was a sharp pre-event volume surge, with trading running 21x above normal and a rapid move against Disguised.

$12,260 on Shopify Rebellion

80% bettor buying dip

Sharp-wallet override applies: an 80% winning bettor with positive P&L bought $3,000 of Disguised amid a major volume spike and fast price move.

This bettor has won 80% of tracked bets and is up about $5.8k lifetime.
They bought $3,000 of Disguised at 43¢ while market volume spiked 21x above normal.
Entry at 43¢ gives roughly a 2.3x payout if Disguised wins Game 2.

$3,000 on Disguised | Wallet win rate: 80%

Profitable serial esports bettor

Profitable serial cross-market bettor sold Disguised, equivalent to buying Shopify Rebellion at 43¢, and the market has already moved toward that view.

This bettor is up $453K lifetime across 764 resolved markets.
They have traded 192 markets across 110 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy.
They effectively bought Shopify Rebellion at 43¢, and the market has already moved to 53¢.

$1,445 on Shopify Rebellion | Wallet win rate: 71%

80% winner buying underdog

Surface due to sharp-wallet override: this bettor has an 80% record over 10 resolved bets with positive P&L and is taking a meaningful Disguised position.

This bettor has won 80% of their resolved bets and is up $7.15K lifetime.
They bought $2.5K of Disguised at 64¢, showing conviction above the current 47¢ market price.
Their past wins came around 64¢ average odds, suggesting they have beaten similar prices before.

$2,500 on Disguised | Wallet win rate: 80%

Top Holders

0xd458...1c90 — Outcome 12438268, $6,982 (80% win rate)
0xcf60...a6f5 — Outcome 12438268, $4,999 (78% win rate)
0x913c...39b3 — Outcome 12438268, $3,525 (66% win rate)
0x8756...3c83 — Outcome 12438268, $3,189
0xb4e0...ffbe — Outcome 12438268, $2,665 (84% win rate)
0x5b10...9659 — Outcome 12438268, $1,092 (71% win rate)
0x186f...8e85 — Outcome 12438268, $1,000
0xe6a1...d6ec — Outcome 12438268, $788
0x67be...6e09 — Outcome 12438268, $700
0xe2be...ff33 — Outcome 12438268, $615

Related Theses

LYON reverse sweeps Team Liquid

Covers 5 related markets

LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner

ResolvedLoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season$28,041 tracked7 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports

This market refers to the LoL match between Shopify Rebellion and Disguised in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 16 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win Game 2 against Disguised. This market will resolve to "Disguised" if Disguised win Game 2 against Shopify Rebellion. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.