LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season
13 signals across 3 markets · $54,543 tracked · resolves May 17, 2026
Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised is an LCS Regular Season best-of-three League of Legends match with Polymarket traders pricing which team will win. PolySpotter tracks the event’s prediction-market odds, including $9,487 in smart money activity and a recent sharp cluster on Disguised.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp 5-wallet esports push
High-conviction one-sided Shopify Rebellion flow from five wallets, including several profitable serial sports/esports traders, drove a major pre-event price move.
$12,260Score: 15.1 - Sharp cluster on Disguised
Four wallets bought Disguised together, led by multiple highly profitable esports-style sharps with 87–95% historical win rates and nearly $560k combined P&L.
$9,487Score: 13.5 - Profitable esports cluster
Three wallets, including two highly profitable serial esports bettors, pushed Shopify Rebellion from the mid-50s/70s to 96% with nearly $10k of one-sided buying.
$9,892Score: 13.2 - Profitable serial esports trader
A highly profitable serial esports trader flipped from Disguised into Shopify Rebellion and immediately caught a major price move to 100%.
$3,406Wallet win rate: 70%Score: 8.2 - 84% winner on esports surge
A highly profitable 84% win-rate esports bettor bought Shopify Rebellion at 85¢ alongside a major price move and volume spike.
$3,931Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 8.2 - Profitable serial esports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor sold Disguised, equivalent to buying Shopify Rebellion at 43¢, and the market has already moved toward that view.
$1,445Wallet win rate: 70%Score: 7.1 - Profitable serial esports trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader bought Shopify Rebellion at 85¢ before a sharp move to 100¢ amid a 15.5x volume spike.
$1,499Wallet win rate: 58%Score: 6.2 - Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a large 762-bet history bought Shopify Rebellion at 57% in a liquid esports market.
$1,458Wallet win rate: 70%Score: 5.3 - Profitable serial esports bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 74% win rate and $1.2M lifetime profit bought Shopify Rebellion at 57¢.
$2,581Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 5.3 - 80% winner buying underdog
Surface due to sharp-wallet override: this bettor has an 80% record over 10 resolved bets with positive P&L and is taking a meaningful Disguised position.
$2,500Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 5.1
Top wallets in this event
- 0xf201a1…527e$8,273 · 2 markets · 4 alerts · 70% wins
- 0xd45831…1c90$5,500 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 80% wins
- 0x695d8d…0d7c$3,931 · 1 market · 1 alert · 72% wins
- 0xef2684…05ba$2,581 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0x31864f…e9ca$1,499 · 1 market · 1 alert · 58% wins
- 0xcf609d…a6f5$1,119 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised?
This event tracks the prediction-market price for the match winner between Shopify Rebellion and Disguised. The odds move as traders buy and sell based on team form, roster news, draft expectations, and in-match information if trading remains active.
What is the smart money doing on this LoL match?
PolySpotter has tracked $9,487 in smart money activity across this event, with the latest alert showing a sharp cluster on Disguised. That suggests notable experienced or high-signal traders have recently leaned toward Disguised.
Is this a market for the whole match or one game?
This event covers the full best-of-three match result. It resolves to Shopify Rebellion if they win the BO3, and to Disguised if Disguised win the BO3.
When does Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised resolve?
The match was scheduled for May 16 at 7:00 PM ET and is expected to resolve after an official winner is determined. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the market rules, resolution follows Polymarket’s stated conditions.