Part of: UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat (Heavyweight, Prelims)
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat (Heavyweight, Prelims)
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $15,132.
Categories: Sports, UFC, Games
Notable Trades
82% win-rate UFC bettor
A proven 82% win-rate bettor bought Thomas Petersen at 80¢ before a massive pre-fight volume and price surge, and the market has since moved to 100¢.
- This bettor wins 82% of their resolved trades and is up $25.2k on over $105k wagered.
- They bought Thomas Petersen at 80¢ before the price ran to 100% on a 118x volume spike.
- This wallet has made 121 bets across 103 events, so this looks like a repeat sharp sports trader rather than a one-off punt.
$994 on Thomas Petersen | Wallet win rate: 80%
82% win-rate sports bettor
A highly profitable 82% win-rate sports trader with over $881k in realized profit just bought nearly $2k of Guilherme Pat in a market that has moved sharply, making this a credible sharp-bettor signal despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 82% of 397 resolved trades and is up about $881k lifetime
- They trade heavily across 55 events and just took Guilherme Pat at 74¢, showing a clear directional view
- The market has been moving fast, so this buy looks like part of informed action rather than random flow
$1,997 on Guilherme Pat | Wallet win rate: 81%
82% win-rate sharp
An 82%-win bettor with nearly $900k in profits bought Guilherme Pat before a fast 11-point move higher, making this a credible sharp follow despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $881k lifetime
- They bought Guilherme Pat at 71¢, and the market moved to 80¢ within minutes
- The wallet has traded 55 related events across 64 markets, suggesting a repeatable sports betting edge
$1,640 on Guilherme Pat | Wallet win rate: 81%
Profitable UFC thesis trader
A highly active, very profitable cross-market trader sold Guilherme Pat at 50¢, which converts to a fresh buy on Thomas Petersen at 50¢ during an unusually large pre-fight volume spike.
- This bettor has 870 resolved bets, wins 64% of them, and is up $4.1M lifetime
- The trade came during a 655x volume spike, suggesting sharper money was moving into this fight market
- Selling Guilherme Pat at 50¢ is equivalent to buying Thomas Petersen at 50¢ in a coin-flip market
$1,832 on Thomas Petersen | Wallet win rate: 43%
Sharp cluster backing Pat
Three wallets piled into Guilherme Pat as the price broke sharply upward, led by an 82% win-rate trader with over $881k in profit across 397 resolved markets.
- An 82% win-rate bettor with $881k profit is part of this 3-wallet move into Guilherme Pat
- The group put $7.6k on one side and helped drive Pat up from 52¢ to 76¢ in minutes
- One wallet sold Petersen at 49¢, which is equivalent to buying Pat at 51¢ before the market repriced
$7,605 on Guilherme Pat
New whale repeat bettor
A 1.6-day-old wallet has already deployed nearly $49k, is up $1.25k, and keeps making large bets, making this fresh UFC position worth watching despite the modest size.
- This wallet is only about 2 days old but has already put nearly $49k to work across 9 positions
- It has been flagged 9 times for large early bets and is already up $1,251
- This is a fresh buy at 51¢ in a liquid, evenly priced UFC market, suggesting real conviction rather than chasing a blowout move
$1,064 on Thomas Petersen | Wallet win rate: 34%
Top Holders
- 0x1433...56a0 — Outcome 39066332, $41,694 (97% win rate)
- 0x12af...ff78 — Outcome 39066332, $18,864 (82% win rate)
- 0x0441...e90f — Outcome 39066332, $7,499 (77% win rate)
- 0x01bf...070d — Outcome 39066332, $7,000 (50% win rate)
- 0x9eca...5a59 — Outcome 39066332, $5,209 (89% win rate)
- 0xd161...4cc1 — Outcome 39066332, $4,986 (73% win rate)
- 0x6dd6...f5f4 — Outcome 39066332, $3,727 (71% win rate)
- 0x0506...8c6a — Outcome 39066332, $3,276 (72% win rate)
- 0x832d...d420 — Outcome 39066332, $2,849 (76% win rate)
- 0x7e90...9b91 — Outcome 39066332, $2,525 (0% win rate)
