This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $881k lifetime They bought Guilherme Pat at 71¢, and the market moved to 80¢ within minutes The wallet has traded 55 related events across 64 markets, suggesting a repeatable sports betting edge

Part of: UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat (Heavyweight, Prelims)

UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat (Heavyweight, Prelims)

This market will resolve to "Thomas Petersen" if Thomas Petersen is officially declared the winner of the fight against Guilherme Pat at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan, scheduled for April 4, 2026. It will resolve to "Guilherme Pat" if Guilherme Pat is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 18, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $15,132.

Categories: Sports, UFC, Games

Notable Trades

82% win-rate UFC bettor

A proven 82% win-rate bettor bought Thomas Petersen at 80¢ before a massive pre-fight volume and price surge, and the market has since moved to 100¢.

This bettor wins 82% of their resolved trades and is up $25.2k on over $105k wagered.
They bought Thomas Petersen at 80¢ before the price ran to 100% on a 118x volume spike.
This wallet has made 121 bets across 103 events, so this looks like a repeat sharp sports trader rather than a one-off punt.

$994 on Thomas Petersen | Wallet win rate: 81%

82% win-rate sports bettor

A highly profitable 82% win-rate sports trader with over $881k in realized profit just bought nearly $2k of Guilherme Pat in a market that has moved sharply, making this a credible sharp-bettor signal despite the modest size.

This bettor wins 82% of 397 resolved trades and is up about $881k lifetime
They trade heavily across 55 events and just took Guilherme Pat at 74¢, showing a clear directional view
The market has been moving fast, so this buy looks like part of informed action rather than random flow

$1,997 on Guilherme Pat | Wallet win rate: 78%

82% win-rate sharp

An 82%-win bettor with nearly $900k in profits bought Guilherme Pat before a fast 11-point move higher, making this a credible sharp follow despite the modest size.

This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $881k lifetime
They bought Guilherme Pat at 71¢, and the market moved to 80¢ within minutes
The wallet has traded 55 related events across 64 markets, suggesting a repeatable sports betting edge

$1,640 on Guilherme Pat | Wallet win rate: 78%

Profitable UFC thesis trader

A highly active, very profitable cross-market trader sold Guilherme Pat at 50¢, which converts to a fresh buy on Thomas Petersen at 50¢ during an unusually large pre-fight volume spike.

This bettor has 870 resolved bets, wins 64% of them, and is up $4.1M lifetime
The trade came during a 655x volume spike, suggesting sharper money was moving into this fight market
Selling Guilherme Pat at 50¢ is equivalent to buying Thomas Petersen at 50¢ in a coin-flip market

$1,832 on Thomas Petersen | Wallet win rate: 46%

Sharp cluster backing Pat

Three wallets piled into Guilherme Pat as the price broke sharply upward, led by an 82% win-rate trader with over $881k in profit across 397 resolved markets.

An 82% win-rate bettor with $881k profit is part of this 3-wallet move into Guilherme Pat
The group put $7.6k on one side and helped drive Pat up from 52¢ to 76¢ in minutes
One wallet sold Petersen at 49¢, which is equivalent to buying Pat at 51¢ before the market repriced

$7,605 on Guilherme Pat

New whale repeat bettor

A 1.6-day-old wallet has already deployed nearly $49k, is up $1.25k, and keeps making large bets, making this fresh UFC position worth watching despite the modest size.

This wallet is only about 2 days old but has already put nearly $49k to work across 9 positions
It has been flagged 9 times for large early bets and is already up $1,251
This is a fresh buy at 51¢ in a liquid, evenly priced UFC market, suggesting real conviction rather than chasing a blowout move

$1,064 on Thomas Petersen | Wallet win rate: 46%