Part of: Iraq vs. Norway
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?
41 smart money signals detected, totaling $1,200,497.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
84% win-rate sports sharp
Sharp profitable sports bettor with an 84% long-term win rate bought Norway Yes amid a major pre-event volume spike and strong cross-market track record.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved bets and is up $420K lifetime.
- They are a proven cross-market trader across 35 events with the same 84% win rate.
- Market activity spiked 56x above normal, while Norway has already moved up 4 points today.
$4,693 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%
Sharp bettor on favorite
Sharp profitable sports wallet bought Norway Yes before a strong move, with a 66x pre-event volume spike supporting the direction.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $152k lifetime.
- They put $14.4k on Yes at 82¢, and the market has already moved to 92¢.
- Volume surged 66x above normal, suggesting broader momentum behind the same side.
$4,023 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 60%
84% win-rate sharp
Proven profitable bettor with an 84% win rate bought Norway Yes before a large volume spike and a move from 72¢ to 88¢.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $76,939 lifetime.
- They bought Norway at 72¢ before the market moved to 88¢.
- Market volume spiked 61x, supporting the same direction as this bet.
$1,800 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%
Serial sports momentum buyer
Worth surfacing mainly as momentum: a massive pre-event volume spike and price move followed this serial cross-market bettor's Norway Yes buy, though the wallet's lifetime P&L is negative.
- This serial bettor has traded 151 markets across 130 events, with a 74% hit rate over 2,807 resolved bets.
- Norway Yes has already moved from their 76¢ entry to about 88¢ amid a 61x pre-event volume spike.
- The market is highly liquid, so the signal is more about momentum than one whale moving a thin book.
$3,166 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 75%
93% winner caught early move
Sharp bettor with a 93% record bought Norway Yes at 71¢ before the market moved to 88¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $2.2K lifetime.
- They bought Norway at 71¢ before the price jumped to 88¢.
- Market volume spiked 61x above normal, confirming strong momentum behind the move.
$1,065 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%
84% winner flips toward Yes
Sharp 84% lifetime winner sold No on Norway, equivalent to buying Yes at 72¢, alongside a large pre-event volume spike, though this may be closing a prior No position rather than a fresh full-size long.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades across 948 bets and is up $34.7K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 45 events and a strong historical hit rate.
- The trade is a No sale at 28¢, which is equivalent to buying Yes at 72¢, but it appears to close a prior No position.
$3,976 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
Sharp bettor on favorite
Sharp profitable sports wallet bought Norway Yes before a strong move, with a 66x pre-event volume spike supporting the direction.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $152k lifetime.
- They put $14.4k on Yes at 82¢, and the market has already moved to 92¢.
- Volume surged 66x above normal, suggesting broader momentum behind the same side.
$14,369 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 60%
84% winner buying favorite
Sharp sports bettor with an 84% long-term win rate bought Norway Yes at 83¢ before the market moved to 92¢ amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $45.7k lifetime.
- They bought Norway at 83¢ before the market moved to 92¢.
- Market volume spiked 66x versus normal, supporting the move.
$1,040 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader bought Norway at 72¢ before a major volume spike and a move to 92¢, suggesting the trade had real edge even though it is now expensive.
- This bettor has made $1.6M lifetime profit across 485 resolved markets.
- They bought Norway at 72¢ before the market jumped to 92¢.
- Volume spiked 66x above normal, confirming broader momentum behind the move.
$3,600 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 63%
Profitable serial sports trader
A profitable high-volume serial sports trader bought Norway Yes at 85¢ amid a 66x pre-event volume spike and the market has already moved to 92¢.
- This bettor has traded 852 resolved markets and is up $243K lifetime.
- They bought Norway at 85¢ before the price moved to 92¢, showing the market quickly followed their side.
- Volume is running 66x above normal with Norway’s odds up 9 points in the past day.
$3,485 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 56%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 80490883, $672,284
- 0xd81e...e3d0 — Outcome 80490883, $497,884 (96% win rate)
- 0x8b32...5950 — Outcome 80490883, $135,400 (44% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 80490883, $121,716 (65% win rate)
- 0x32b4...8b21 — Outcome 80490883, $72,862 (62% win rate)
- 0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 80490883, $61,080 (66% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Outcome 80490883, $39,027 (55% win rate)
- 0x37e0...024e — Outcome 80490883, $36,215 (68% win rate)
- 0x160b...4296 — Outcome 80490883, $34,513 (76% win rate)
- 0xb0cc...f354 — Outcome 80490883, $31,030 (48% win rate)
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