Part of: US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech
This Polymarket prediction market covers the 2026 US Open ATP match between Daniil Medvedev and Arthur Rinderknech, scheduled for September 4, 2026. It resolves to the player who advances, with $15,478 in tracked smart money across two signals; current odds can change as traders update their positions.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $16,980.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable serial trader fades Medvedev
A highly experienced, profitable serial trader made a fresh $3,500 contrarian sale of Medvedev during a 331x pre-event volume spike, implying a buy on Rinderknech around 30%.
- This trader has participated in 1,242 events and is up $1.03 million lifetime.
- The $3,500 Medvedev sale was placed during a 331x surge in pre-event activity.
- Selling Medvedev at 70¢ implies buying Rinderknech near 30%, against the market's 72% Medvedev odds.
$3,500 on Arthur Rinderknech | Wallet win rate: 58%
Whale scaling into Medvedev
A sizable bettor is adding to an existing Medvedev position amid a reported 331x pre-event volume spike, though the wallet's long-term record is only modestly profitable.
- This bettor added $7,132 to Medvedev while already holding $19,051 at a 71¢ average entry.
- The market saw a reported 331x spike versus its historical trading average, alongside unusually large one-sided bets.
- The wallet has made $3.5M overall but wins only 54% of 41,835 resolved trades, so the signal is conviction rather than proven sharpness.
$11,978 on Daniil Medvedev | Wallet win rate: 55%
97% winner adds to Medvedev
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 97% win rate is adding to an existing Medvedev position at 74 cents.
- This bettor has won 97% of 212 resolved trades and is up $51,873.
- They are adding $1,502 to an existing Medvedev position at 74¢, signaling continued conviction.
- The entry price is close to the current 74% market odds, with a liquid market and a tight 1¢ spread.
$1,502 on Daniil Medvedev | Wallet win rate: 97%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 44784349, $73,035 (65% win rate)
- 0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 44784349, $31,499 (70% win rate)
- 0x076d...8d4c — Outcome 44784349, $21,310 (66% win rate)
- 0x9c3c...e8c9 — Outcome 44784349, $18,519 (95% win rate)
- 0x620b...2e9f — Outcome 44784349, $12,000 (91% win rate)
- 0xacf8...e791 — Outcome 44784349, $9,094 (71% win rate)
- 0xf5a3...9e12 — Outcome 44784349, $7,407
- 0x9703...69c2 — Outcome 44784349, $6,816
- 0x1ab8...1b4a — Outcome 44784349, $6,017 (55% win rate)
- 0x0079...31c7 — Outcome 44784349, $2,563 (65% win rate)
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