US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech
9 signals across 5 markets · $120,614 tracked · resolves Sep 11, 2026
The Polymarket event tracks the US Open ATP match between Daniil Medvedev and Arthur Rinderknech, with markets covering which player advances. PolySpotter has tracked $1,502 in smart money across the event, including a signal showing 97% winner support adding to Medvedev.
Markets (5)
- Game Spread: Medvedev (-4.5) vs Rinderknech (+4.5)1 signal · $38,097 tracked
- Set 1 Winner: Medvedev vs Rinderknech2 signals · $33,484 tracked
- Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Rinderknech (+1.5)2 signals · $30,952 tracked
- US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech3 signals · $16,980 tracked
- Set 4 Winner: Medvedev vs Rinderknech1 signal · $1,100 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- 89% win-rate bettor buys Rinderknech
A highly profitable serial trader with 899 resolved positions made a concentrated Rinderknech bet worth over 10 times the market's 24-hour volume.
$38,097Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 7.0 - Sharp bettor makes thin-market Medvedev bet
A proven 89% win-rate bettor with substantial positive edge committed nearly $10,000 to Medvedev in an extremely thin market.
$21,067Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 6.9 - Sharp bettor makes thin-market Medvedev bet
A proven 89% win-rate bettor with substantial positive edge committed nearly $10,000 to Medvedev in an extremely thin market.
$9,886Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 6.7 - Serial sharp backs Medvedev
A highly experienced bettor with an 84% win rate and substantial proven edge made a fresh $1,100 Medvedev bet in a nearly inactive market.
$1,100Wallet win rate: 84%Score: 5.0 - Thin-market whale backs Rinderknech
A highly active profitable trader placed a concentrated $12,160 bet on Rinderknech in an exceptionally thin market, creating a meaningful directional signal despite limited evidence of superior odds-based edge.
$12,160Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 4.9 - Thin-market whale backs Rinderknech
A highly active profitable trader placed a concentrated $12,160 bet on Rinderknech in an exceptionally thin market, creating a meaningful directional signal despite limited evidence of superior odds-based edge.
$21,324Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 4.8 - 97% winner adds to Medvedev
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 97% win rate is adding to an existing Medvedev position at 74 cents.
$1,502Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 4.7 - Profitable serial trader fades Medvedev
A highly experienced, profitable serial trader made a fresh $3,500 contrarian sale of Medvedev during a 331x pre-event volume spike, implying a buy on Rinderknech around 30%.
$3,500Wallet win rate: 58%Score: 4.1 - Whale scaling into Medvedev
A sizable bettor is adding to an existing Medvedev position amid a reported 331x pre-event volume spike, though the wallet's long-term record is only modestly profitable.
$11,978Wallet win rate: 55%Score: 3.1
Top wallets in this event
- 0xf28e42…cab2$69,049 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 89% wins
- 0xfe787d…0319$33,484 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 65% wins
- 0x526852…135d$11,978 · 1 market · 1 alert · 55% wins
- 0x6d3c5b…d294$3,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 58% wins
- 0xa8b8b7…36dd$1,502 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
- 0xfff33b…e2c5$1,100 · 1 market · 1 alert · 84% wins
FAQs
What are the Medvedev vs Rinderknech odds?
The live Polymarket odds show the market-implied chances of Daniil Medvedev or Arthur Rinderknech advancing. Check the event page for current prices, which can change as traders buy and sell.
What is the Medvedev vs Rinderknech prediction market?
It is a two-outcome US Open ATP prediction market. It resolves to Medvedev if he advances and to Rinderknech if he advances, subject to the market’s settlement rules.
What is smart money betting on in this match?
PolySpotter tracked one smart money signal totaling $1,502 across the event. The latest alert says a 97% winner added to Medvedev.
When does the Medvedev vs Rinderknech market resolve?
The match was scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET, and the event is listed to resolve by September 11, 2026. Cancellations, ties, or an undetermined winner are handled under the exchange’s stated rules.