Part of: Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?

This prediction market asks whether Google’s next Gemini Pro model will be available to the general public by September 30, 2026, Eastern Time. Any post-creation model labeled “Pro,” including a Pro preview, may qualify; Flash and other non-Pro models do not. Live market odds were not included in the supplied metadata.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,765.

Categories: AI, Tech, Gemini, google, AI Releases, Gemini Pro

Notable Trades

Proven serial bettor adds to No

A proven, profitable bettor with an 80% win rate is adding to a No position and has traded across 27 events.

  • This bettor wins 80% of 266 resolved trades and is up $100,472 lifetime.
  • The wallet is adding to an existing No position, showing continued conviction that no qualifying Pro release arrives by the deadline.
  • They have traded across 27 events and 32 markets, indicating an established cross-market track record rather than a one-off wager.

$1,765 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2cb8...7f4a No, $13,090 (100% win rate)
  2. 0x5a7b...e9eb Yes, $7,182 (70% win rate)
  3. 0x5a21...9318 Yes, $4,605 (63% win rate)
  4. 0xe97b...b2ea No, $4,385
  5. 0x76db...6987 Yes, $3,712 (55% win rate)
  6. 0x4f71...1721 No, $3,195 (96% win rate)
  7. 0xfd74...a2a7 Yes, $2,985 (86% win rate)
  8. 0x7845...417b No, $2,102 (80% win rate)
  9. 0xfd59...0231 Yes, $2,067
  10. 0x9aeb...2729 No, $2,000 (68% win rate)

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Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?

7dNext Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?$1,765 tracked1 signalAITechGeminigoogleAI ReleasesGemini Pro
Yes
8¢
No
92¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Price History — “No
95¢
88¢
81¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?

6d ago

$1,765 on No at 84¢

84¢92¢8¢

Related Theses