Part of: Elon Musk # tweets April 7 - April 14, 2026?
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,659.
Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automations 200 4.5 50
Notable Trades
90% hit-rate serial trader
A highly accurate serial cross-market trader with a 90% hit rate sold No, equivalent to buying Yes at 65¢, right as this market broke sharply upward.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades across 79 events and 89 markets
- Their sell of No at 35¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 65¢
- The market has already surged, with odds up 61 points in 1 day after a major price break
$1,739 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%
Profitable event specialist
A profitable sharp wallet with a 76% win rate and strong edge is making a fresh cross-market bet within the Elon tweet-count event, which is notable despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 76% of their trades and is up about $167k across 45 resolved markets
- They have been positioning across 3 related Elon tweet-count markets, which suggests a deliberate event view rather than a one-off punt
- Bought Yes at 14¢, a low-priced entry that implies they think this outcome is meaningfully more likely than the market does
$1,453 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 22%
92% win-rate contrarian
A proven 92% win-rate serial cross-market trader is fading a 91% favorite here, which is notable despite the modest size because the wallet has a long profitable history across 186 markets.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades across 186 markets and has a long record of event-driven trading
- They sold No at 88¢, which converts to buying Yes at 12¢ — a clear contrarian bet against a 91% market price
- The bet is small relative to market volume, but the wallet’s track record makes this position worth watching
$1,467 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 62507288, $416,560
- 0xba8b...62fd — Outcome 62507288, $31,592
- 0xafca...08e4 — Outcome 62507288, $12,981
- 0x05e6...f081 — Outcome 62507288, $3,800
- 0x97ff...d095 — Outcome 62507288, $3,230 (73% win rate)
- 0xbc13...5578 — Outcome 62507288, $3,000
- 0x4c46...fe27 — Outcome 10925223, $2,417
- 0x7ce1...7e21 — Outcome 62507288, $950
- 0x28ab...2048 — Outcome 62507288, $930
- 0x4938...ce0c — Outcome 62507288, $788
