Part of: Elon Musk # tweets April 7 - April 14, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 7 12:00 PM ET to April 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,659.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automations 200 4.5 50

Notable Trades

90% hit-rate serial trader

A highly accurate serial cross-market trader with a 90% hit rate sold No, equivalent to buying Yes at 65¢, right as this market broke sharply upward.

This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades across 79 events and 89 markets
Their sell of No at 35¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 65¢
The market has already surged, with odds up 61 points in 1 day after a major price break

$1,739 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%

Profitable event specialist

A profitable sharp wallet with a 76% win rate and strong edge is making a fresh cross-market bet within the Elon tweet-count event, which is notable despite the modest size.

This bettor wins 76% of their trades and is up about $167k across 45 resolved markets
They have been positioning across 3 related Elon tweet-count markets, which suggests a deliberate event view rather than a one-off punt
Bought Yes at 14¢, a low-priced entry that implies they think this outcome is meaningfully more likely than the market does

$1,453 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 16%

92% win-rate contrarian

A proven 92% win-rate serial cross-market trader is fading a 91% favorite here, which is notable despite the modest size because the wallet has a long profitable history across 186 markets.

This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades across 186 markets and has a long record of event-driven trading
They sold No at 88¢, which converts to buying Yes at 12¢ — a clear contrarian bet against a 91% market price
The bet is small relative to market volume, but the wallet’s track record makes this position worth watching

$1,467 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%