Part of: Bitcoin above ___ on May 4?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $24,429.
Categories: Bitcoin, Weekly, Multi Strikes, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring
Notable Trades
Serial last-minute BTC timer
High-conviction near-resolution Bitcoin trade led by a profitable serial timer and reinforced by three wallets buying Yes minutes before settlement.
- A serial last-minute bettor with $282K profit bought Yes less than 1 minute before resolution.
- Three wallets all bought the same side, totaling $4.3K, as Yes moved sharply to 100%.
- Average entry was about 59¢, implying the group caught a fast near-settlement move.
$4,336 on Yes
Serial timer buying NO
High-score alert from a profitable serial near-resolution trader whose NO buys preceded a sharp move from 57¢ to 92¢ with supporting volume and price-impact signals.
- This bettor is up $282,736 lifetime and has made 51 near-resolution bets across 22 markets.
- They built an $8,155 NO position 25–40 minutes before resolution, starting at 57¢ before NO jumped to 92¢.
- Market volume spiked 10x while NO moved sharply higher, matching the trader’s direction.
$8,155 on No | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable serial timer buys NO
Profitable serial timer placed a concentrated $6.2k late bet on No ahead of resolution, backed by a volume spike and sharp market movement.
- This bettor is up $97,773 across 1,405 resolved bets and has a pattern of late bets near resolution.
- They put $6.2k on No about 40 minutes before settlement, matching 8 prior near-resolution trades across 6 markets.
- Market activity spiked 10x, and their 88¢ entry shows high conviction despite the current price being much lower.
$6,178 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%
BTC momentum bettor
Surfacing due to strong Bitcoin-market momentum: a profitable high-volume wallet bought Yes amid a 151x volume spike and 22-point price move, with related positions across three markets.
- A profitable high-volume bettor bought $4.2k of Yes after the market moved up 22 points.
- This is part of a $16.8k position across 3 related Bitcoin markets.
- Market volume spiked 151x versus normal, suggesting a broader rush into this side.
$4,206 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 54%
92% winner flips toward Yes
A very high-win-rate serial cross-market trader exited a No position, effectively taking the Yes side at about 11¢ as No price fell quickly.
- This bettor has won 92% of resolved trades across 184 markets and is up $46.6K lifetime.
- They sold No at 89¢, which is equivalent to buying Yes around 11¢ before No dropped to 86¢.
- Market activity spiked 19x above normal, with a fast 10-point move against No.
$1,554 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%
