Part of: World Cup: No. of Matches Decided by Penalty Shootout

Will 4+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,037.

Categories: Sports, Tournament Futures, world cup, FIFA World Cup, Soccer, 2026 FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

89% winner buying Yes

Sharp wallet override: a highly profitable 89% lifetime winner is buying Yes after positioning across three related World Cup markets.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $24,594 lifetime.
  • They have placed $5,638 across 3 related World Cup markets, suggesting a broader tournament thesis.
  • Buying at 88¢ signals they see 4+ penalty shootouts as very likely despite the market already being high.

$1,037 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%

Top Holders

  1. 0x805a...0635 Outcome 24335573, $274 (47% win rate)
  2. 0x2dc0...e57d Outcome 24335573, $167
  3. 0x6216...1bd4 Outcome 24335573, $100
  4. 0x4385...f4b1 Outcome 24335573, $50
  5. 0x9a94...d5f9 Outcome 24335573, $50
  6. 0x510f...a43c Outcome 24335573, $30
  7. 0xeab7...b389 Outcome 24335573, $15
  8. 0x990b...aae2 Outcome 24335573, $6
  9. 0x753b...89b7 Outcome 24335573, $5
  10. 0xec49...e6f0 Outcome 24335573, $4

Related Theses

Four to six shootouts

Covers 4 related markets

Will 4+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

ResolvedWorld Cup: No. of Matches Decided by Penalty Shootout$1,037 tracked1 signalSportsTournament Futuresworld cupFIFA World CupSoccer2026 FIFA World Cup

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of matches decided by a penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Will 4+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

37d ago

$1,037 on Yes at 88¢

Related Theses