This bettor has won 98% of 4,623 resolved trades and is up $41,499 lifetime. They have traded 25 similar events, suggesting a repeatable edge in these short Bitcoin markets. The buy landed at 85¢ just as the market resolved to 100%, showing strong timing precision.

Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,067.

Categories: Crypto Prices, Recurring, Crypto, Bitcoin, 5M, Up or Down

Notable Trades

98% serial BTC timer

Serial cross-market bettor with a 98% resolved win rate bought Up at 85¢ right at resolution, continuing a highly profitable last-minute BTC pattern.

This bettor has won 98% of 4,623 resolved trades and is up $41,499 lifetime.
They have traded 25 similar events, suggesting a repeatable edge in these short Bitcoin markets.
The buy landed at 85¢ just as the market resolved to 100%, showing strong timing precision.

$2,136 on Up | Wallet win rate: 98%

Profitable serial timer

Serial near-resolution bettor with positive P&L bought Down 7.9 minutes before resolution in a short BTC market, but the edge is moderate and price has moved against the entry.

This bettor has a pattern of last-minute trades, with 3 near-resolution bets across 3 markets.
The wallet is up $3,120 lifetime and has beaten implied odds by about 20%.
They bought Down at 63¢, implying strong conviction despite the market now pricing it closer to 55¢.

$2,930 on Down | Wallet win rate: 57%

Top Holders

0x931c...a002 — Outcome 68556356, $2,603
0x0695...c8d3 — Outcome 68556356, $730
0x9935...a245 — Outcome 68556356, $700
0x4cd6...686f — Outcome 68556356, $500
0x4c81...8ea1 — Outcome 68556356, $440
0x7ec4...00ad — Outcome 68556356, $416
0xe226...f76b — Outcome 68556356, $405
0x84e5...5071 — Outcome 68556356, $353
0x32b8...fe67 — Outcome 68556356, $350
0x542e...e88e — Outcome 11243898, $280

Related Theses

Bitcoin rises in five minutes

Covers 1 related market

Bitcoin falls before 11:45 ET

Covers 1 related market

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

ResolvedBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$5,067 tracked2 signalsCrypto PricesHide From NewRecurringCryptoBitcoin5MUp or Down

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Notable Trades