Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,826.

Categories: Up or Down, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Crypto, Bitcoin, 15M

Notable Trades

Last-second BTC specialist

Profitable high-volume crypto bettor made a last-second Down buy at 64¢ that immediately resolved to 100¢, suggesting strong real-time execution edge but no current copy opportunity at fair price.

This bettor has 4,352 resolved trades and is up about $153K lifetime.
They bought Down at 64¢ two seconds before resolution, and it moved to 100¢.
This wallet has traded across 142 events with over $1M in tracked activity.

$1,926 on Down | Wallet win rate: 58%

Near-perfect BTC closer

A highly profitable near-resolution BTC bettor bought Down at 84¢ and the market immediately resolved to 100¢.

This bettor has won 5,175 of 5,182 resolved bets and is up $58k lifetime.
They bought Down at 84¢ right as the market closed, and it moved to 100¢.
The trade was large for the market window, roughly 94% of recent volume.

$3,203 on Down | Wallet win rate: 100%

84% winner buying Down

Sharp-wallet override: a bettor with an 84% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Down at even odds despite only a weak low-activity signal.

This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $6.8K lifetime.
They bought Down at 50¢ in an even market, implying a clean 2x payout if right.
The bet was about half of the market’s 24h volume, showing meaningful conviction in a quiet contract.

$1,698 on Down | Wallet win rate: 84%

Top Holders

0x0681...f713 — Outcome 71882237, $36,494 (52% win rate)
0x881a...a85a — Outcome 71882237, $3,390
0xc60f...5b36 — Outcome 71882237, $1,731 (82% win rate)
0x7c54...6c48 — Outcome 71882237, $716
0x5913...151f — Outcome 71882237, $604
0xbe97...6347 — Outcome 71882237, $546 (93% win rate)
0x4336...e51c — Outcome 71882237, $345
0x3b29...b2f7 — Outcome 71882237, $335
0x52dc...6617 — Outcome 71882237, $262
0x2ed9...f271 — Outcome 71882237, $183

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

ResolvedBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$6,826 tracked3 signalsUp or DownCrypto PricesHide From NewRecurringCryptoBitcoin15M

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Price History — “Up”

52¢

50¢

49¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction