Part of: UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)
23 smart money signals detected, totaling $190,776.
Categories: Sports, UFC, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp contrarian on underdog
A highly profitable 81% win-rate bettor joined a 4-wallet contrarian Costa position, though the market has since moved sharply toward Arnold Allen.
- The lead Costa buyer wins 81% of resolved bets and is up about $899k lifetime.
- Four wallets put $7.6k on Costa or against Allen, creating a coordinated underdog fade.
- This is high-risk: Costa entries were around 50¢ earlier, but the market has since crashed to 10¢ after heavy Allen buying.
$7,636 on Melquizael Costa
Linked cluster moved Allen
Strong coordinated Arnold Allen buying with linked-wallet flow, major price impact, and a profitable high-volume sports trader who entered far below the current market.
- Six wallets bought Arnold Allen the same way, including linked wallets, for $16.8K total.
- This trader is up $467K lifetime across more than 2,300 resolved bets.
- They entered at 59¢ before Allen surged to 90¢, alongside an 18x volume spike.
$1,000 on Arnold Allen | Wallet win rate: 56%
81% sharp joins Costa cluster
A highly profitable 81% win-rate sports bettor bought Melquizael Costa alongside a 7-wallet one-sided cluster during a major pre-fight volume spike, despite the price later moving against them.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up about $899K lifetime.
- Seven wallets bought Melquizael Costa in the same window, totaling nearly $25K on one side.
- Volume spiked 280x before the fight, and the current price is below this sharp bettor’s 53¢ entry.
$2,768 on Melquizael Costa | Wallet win rate: 79%
Sharp UFC bettor joins cluster
Sharp UFC bettor with an 81% resolved win rate and nearly $899k profit joined coordinated Costa buying amid a major pre-fight volume spike.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up about $899k lifetime.
- Six wallets are buying Melquizael Costa the same way, totaling about $20.7k.
- Market volume spiked 309x before the fight, suggesting fresh conviction on Costa.
$2,380 on Melquizael Costa | Wallet win rate: 79%
87% sharp joins Costa cluster
Elite profitable sports wallet bought Melquizael Costa alongside one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-fight volume spike.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $2.34M lifetime.
- Seven wallets bought the same side, totaling about $23K on Melquizael Costa.
- Pre-fight volume spiked 337x, suggesting a sudden rush of money into this matchup.
$4,809 on Melquizael Costa | Wallet win rate: 88%
Profitable serial sports bettor
High-scoring UFC alert with a very profitable serial sports bettor buying Costa alongside six-wallet one-sided flow and a major pre-fight volume spike.
- This bettor has traded 373 resolved markets and is up $1.74M lifetime.
- Six wallets are all buying Melquizael Costa, totaling $10.8K in the same direction.
- Pre-fight volume spiked 650x versus the historical average, suggesting fresh money is moving into this side.
$3,059 on Melquizael Costa | Wallet win rate: 69%
Profitable serial bettor joins Costa flow
Profitable serial sports bettor joined a 6-wallet one-sided move on Melquizael Costa amid a major pre-fight volume spike.
- This bettor is up $591K across 1,787 resolved trades, with over $50M in prior volume.
- Six wallets are all buying Melquizael Costa, totaling $10.8K in same-direction flow.
- Market volume spiked 650x versus its historical average before the fight.
$2,107 on Melquizael Costa | Wallet win rate: 66%
Six-wallet underdog push
Coordinated one-sided buying and a major pre-fight volume spike make this worth surfacing, even though the individual wallet is not a proven profitable sharp.
- Six wallets bought the same side, totaling $10.8K in coordinated flow.
- Market volume spiked 650x versus its historical average ahead of the fight.
- Entry at 47¢ implies the group sees near-even odds as mispriced.
$1,069 on Melquizael Costa | Wallet win rate: 60%
97% winner joins cluster
Surface because a highly profitable 97% winner is part of a four-wallet Costa buy cluster during a major pre-fight volume spike, despite larger opposing Allen flow.
- A bettor who wins 97% of resolved bets is buying here and is up $28K lifetime.
- Four wallets bought the same side for $8.1K at 47¢ during a huge pre-fight volume surge.
- Entry at 47¢ is close to a coin flip, so the trade is betting this side is being slightly underrated.
$8,091 on Melquizael Costa
98% sharp joins Allen flow
A highly profitable 98% win-rate bettor bought Arnold Allen amid heavy one-sided flow and a major pre-fight volume spike.
- This bettor has won 149 of 152 resolved positions and is up $407K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 132 events with a 98% hit rate.
- Three wallets are buying Arnold Allen the same way, totaling $291K in one-sided flow.
$1,980 on Arnold Allen | Wallet win rate: 98%
Top Holders
- 0x1117...3532 — Outcome 10450867, $270,059 (66% win rate)
- 0x8f8c...e275 — Outcome 10450867, $65,291 (79% win rate)
- 0x7966...6f94 — Outcome 10450867, $21,634 (91% win rate)
- 0x6f8b...01aa — Outcome 10450867, $20,000 (41% win rate)
- 0x9c1c...7980 — Outcome 10450867, $15,020 (70% win rate)
- 0x2c94...8aee — Outcome 10450867, $15,000
- 0xf5e1...5ad0 — Outcome 10450867, $14,943 (53% win rate)
- 0xc58d...9373 — Outcome 10450867, $14,044 (57% win rate)
- 0x27f7...44b0 — Outcome 10450867, $11,572 (88% win rate)
- 0xdd9d...b730 — Outcome 10450867, $10,000 (96% win rate)
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