Part of: National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Jakub Mensik

National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Jakub Mensik

This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Jakub Mensik in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 6, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jacob Fearnley' if Jacob Fearnley advances against Jakub Mensik. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Mensik' if Jakub Mensik advances against Jacob Fearnley. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $42,071.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

14-wallet Mensik betting cluster

A 14-wallet, three-funder cluster placed $122,506 on Jakub Mensik, strongly corroborating this bettor's $1,000 entry despite only modest individual edge.

Fourteen wallets backed Jakub Mensik for $122,506, with links to three shared funders.
This bettor has won 73% of 1,507 resolved trades and is up nearly $20,000 overall.
The position was bought at 80¢ before Mensik reached the current 100¢ price.

$1,000 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 72%

Serial trader backing Mensik

A highly experienced serial trader with 527 resolved bets bought Mensik at 73¢ during a sharp 42.9-point upward price move.

This bettor has won 76% of 527 resolved trades and is up nearly $300,000.
The $2,497 Mensik purchase coincided with a sharp 42.9-point price surge, signaling strong market-moving conviction.
The entry at 73¢ implies the trader sees Mensik as more likely than the market’s prior pricing suggested.

$1,490 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 74%

Serial trader backing Mensik

A highly experienced serial trader with 527 resolved bets bought Mensik at 73¢ during a sharp 42.9-point upward price move.

This bettor has won 76% of 527 resolved trades and is up nearly $300,000.
The $2,497 Mensik purchase coincided with a sharp 42.9-point price surge, signaling strong market-moving conviction.
The entry at 73¢ implies the trader sees Mensik as more likely than the market’s prior pricing suggested.

$2,497 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 74%

Linked wallets piling into Mensik

Three wallets, including two linked accounts, added $17.3K to Jakub Mensik during a 260x volume spike, although their existing positions on both sides reduce the purity of the signal.

Three wallets bought $17,276 of Jakub Mensik at 65–73¢, with two accounts sharing a funder.
Trading volume was 260 times the historical average, suggesting unusually concentrated attention on the match.
The wallets are adding to existing Mensik positions, though some also hold Fearnley and lack a standout win-rate edge.

$21,523 on Jakub Mensik

Large serial bettor backs Mensik

A highly active bettor placed a sizable Mensik position that represented 562% of detected 24-hour volume, though the wallet's track record does not show a clear odds-based edge.

The $7,676 bet was 562% of the detected 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in Jakub Mensik.
This bettor has traded 4,076 events and 4,710 markets, with a 63% win rate across 34,243 resolved positions.
Mensik was bought at 69¢ while the market is around 70¢, implying the trader sees meaningful value at current odds.

$1,719 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 64%

Large serial bettor backs Mensik

A highly active bettor placed a sizable Mensik position that represented 562% of detected 24-hour volume, though the wallet's track record does not show a clear odds-based edge.

The $7,676 bet was 562% of the detected 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in Jakub Mensik.
This bettor has traded 4,076 events and 4,710 markets, with a 63% win rate across 34,243 resolved positions.
Mensik was bought at 69¢ while the market is around 70¢, implying the trader sees meaningful value at current odds.

$2,166 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 64%

Large serial bettor backs Mensik

A highly active bettor placed a sizable Mensik position that represented 562% of detected 24-hour volume, though the wallet's track record does not show a clear odds-based edge.

The $7,676 bet was 562% of the detected 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in Jakub Mensik.
This bettor has traded 4,076 events and 4,710 markets, with a 63% win rate across 34,243 resolved positions.
Mensik was bought at 69¢ while the market is around 70¢, implying the trader sees meaningful value at current odds.

$7,676 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 64%

40-0 sharp scaling into Fearnley

A proven 40-0 bettor is adding $4,000 to an existing Fearnley position at 31¢ in a thin market.

This bettor has won 100% of 40 resolved positions, with a 53% average entry price and $101,297 in realized profit.
The $4,000 purchase equals nearly three times the market’s 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in a relatively thin market.
This is an addition to an existing $13,035 Fearnley position rather than a routine exit, reinforcing the directional thesis.

$4,000 on Jacob Fearnley | Wallet win rate: 100%