Part of: Elon Musk # tweets July 27 - July 29, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,875.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets

Notable Trades

16-wallet cluster buying No

A 16-wallet shared-funder cluster is adding to No in a market with a meaningful recent move, though the individual wallet has no demonstrated odds-adjusted edge.

  • Sixteen wallets sharing one funder are positioned on the same outcome, a strong coordinated signal.
  • This wallet is adding to an existing No position after the price moved from 68¢ to 72¢.
  • The wallet is up $42,000 overall, but its 64% win rate at a 70¢ average winning price is not independently compelling.

$1,506 on No | Wallet win rate: 64%

16-wallet cluster buying No

A 16-wallet shared-funder cluster is adding to No in a market with a meaningful recent move, though the individual wallet has no demonstrated odds-adjusted edge.

  • Sixteen wallets sharing one funder are positioned on the same outcome, a strong coordinated signal.
  • This wallet is adding to an existing No position after the price moved from 68¢ to 72¢.
  • The wallet is up $42,000 overall, but its 64% win rate at a 70¢ average winning price is not independently compelling.

$1,009 on No | Wallet win rate: 64%

16-wallet cluster buying No

A 16-wallet shared-funder cluster is adding to No in a market with a meaningful recent move, though the individual wallet has no demonstrated odds-adjusted edge.

  • Sixteen wallets sharing one funder are positioned on the same outcome, a strong coordinated signal.
  • This wallet is adding to an existing No position after the price moved from 68¢ to 72¢.
  • The wallet is up $42,000 overall, but its 64% win rate at a 70¢ average winning price is not independently compelling.

$1,360 on No | Wallet win rate: 64%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 91040028, $52,296
  2. 0x2ef2...7f72 — Outcome 86557220, $5,000 (45% win rate)
  3. 0xac4a...bf1e — Outcome 86557220, $3,648
  4. 0x35f3...cfd0 — Outcome 86557220, $2,078
  5. 0x43cb...84df — Outcome 86557220, $1,992
  6. 0x5a21...9318 — Outcome 86557220, $1,535 (62% win rate)
  7. 0x1cdd...e595 — Outcome 86557220, $1,355
  8. 0x590e...e43d — Outcome 86557220, $1,303
  9. 0x215a...254c — Outcome 86557220, $1,281
  10. 0x99a6...6558 — Outcome 86557220, $1,258 (48% win rate)

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?

ResolvedElon Musk # tweets July 27 - July 29, 2026?$3,875 tracked3 signalsCulturePoliticsTweet Markets

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 27 12:00 PM ET to July 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Price History — “No”
102¢
82¢
61¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?

45d ago

$1,506 on No at 68¢

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?

45d ago

$1,009 on No at 68¢

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?

45d ago

$1,360 on No at 68¢