Part of: Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
This prediction market asks whether the 2026 U.S. Midterm Elections will take place as scheduled on November 3, 2026. It resolves to “Yes” if the elections happen that day, and “No” otherwise, using official U.S. government information or a consensus of credible reporting. PolySpotter is tracking $2,821 in smart money activity, with 1 recent signal noting an 85% winner fading Yes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,821.
Categories: Politics, Trump, Elections
Notable Trades
85% winner fading Yes
Proven 85% winner and highly active cross-market trader is fading the scheduled-midterms outcome on a quiet market with a trade over 4.6x daily volume.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $41K across $2.36M invested.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 114 events and nearly $2M in tracked volume.
- The trade is large for this quiet market, equal to 461% of the past 24 hours' volume.
$2,821 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%
Top Holders
- 0xdc8d...84bc — Yes, $22,759 (87% win rate)
- 0x8190...b247 — Yes, $17,664
- 0x79a1...34b5 — No, $14,483
- 0x69e5...5a3d — No, $14,243
- 0x6893...672f — No, $11,197
- 0x0dde...94c3 — Yes, $9,695 (86% win rate)
- 0xbe89...b88c — Yes, $7,903 (51% win rate)
- 0x5c60...67c1 — Yes, $6,175
- 0xd662...48fc — No, $5,359
- 0x8c2f...51bc — No, $3,189
Related Theses
Midterms will be postponed
Covers 1 related market
