What is this Bitcoin $100,000 prediction market?

It is a prediction market on whether Bitcoin will reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026. The market resolves Yes if the qualifying Binance BTC/USDT price condition is met.

What price proves that Bitcoin reached $100,000?

A Binance BTC/USDT one-minute candle must have a final High price equal to or greater than $100,000 during the market's active period.

What exchange is used to resolve the Bitcoin market?

The resolution source is Binance, using BTC/USDT High prices from the one-minute chart.

When does the Bitcoin $100K market resolve?

The qualifying window runs from November 24, 2025 at 14:00 ET through December 31, 2026 at 23:59 ET. The scheduled resolution time is January 1, 2027 at 05:00 UTC.

Where can I track Bitcoin prediction market odds and smart money?

PolySpotter shows the market's live Yes/No pricing, smart money activity, and recent trading alerts for this Bitcoin prediction market.

Part of: What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

This Bitcoin prediction market asks whether BTC/USDT will reach $100,000 at any point by December 31, 2026. It resolves Yes if a Binance one-minute candle records a final High of at least $100,000; PolySpotter tracks $3,405 in smart money across one recorded signal.

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

26 smart money signals detected, totaling $83,732.

Categories: Bitcoin, Yearly, Hit Price, Crypto Prices, Crypto

Notable Trades

Profitable crypto bettor

Sharp profitable wallet with an 80% resolved-bet win rate is buying No on BTC hitting $100k by end-2026, with cross-market crypto positioning.

This bettor has won 80% of 20 resolved bets and is up $19.3k lifetime.
They put $4,000 on No at 85¢, backing BTC to stay below $100k through 2026.
The wallet has also positioned across another related market, suggesting a broader crypto thesis.

$3,405 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%

Serial cross-market crypto bettor

A high-volume serial cross-market trader with a long positive track record bought $8.9k of No on a crypto market, though the bet is on a heavy favorite with limited upside.

This bettor has traded 112 markets across 53 events and is up about $39k lifetime.
They put $8.9k on No, equal to 57% of the market’s 24h volume.
Entry at 90¢ is a high-conviction favorite bet with a capped but straightforward payout.

$3,438 on No | Wallet win rate: 74%

90% winner fading BTC moonshot

Surface because this is a profitable 90% win-rate wallet taking a fresh No position after prior Yes exposure, despite only moderate signal strength.

This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $2.1K lifetime.
They flipped from a closed Yes position into No, suggesting a fresh bearish view on BTC reaching $100K.
Entry at 85¢ is a high-confidence bet with limited upside but strong historical backing.

$3,250 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%

Serial cross-market crypto bettor

A high-volume serial cross-market trader with a long positive track record bought $8.9k of No on a crypto market, though the bet is on a heavy favorite with limited upside.

This bettor has traded 112 markets across 53 events and is up about $39k lifetime.
They put $8.9k on No, equal to 57% of the market’s 24h volume.
Entry at 90¢ is a high-conviction favorite bet with a capped but straightforward payout.

$2,804 on No | Wallet win rate: 74%

Serial cross-market crypto bettor

A high-volume serial cross-market trader with a long positive track record bought $8.9k of No on a crypto market, though the bet is on a heavy favorite with limited upside.

This bettor has traded 112 markets across 53 events and is up about $39k lifetime.
They put $8.9k on No, equal to 57% of the market’s 24h volume.
Entry at 90¢ is a high-conviction favorite bet with a capped but straightforward payout.

$8,934 on No | Wallet win rate: 74%

99% winner BTC bear

A highly profitable 99% win-rate wallet is extending a $76.6k cross-market bearish BTC thesis by buying No at 88¢.

This bettor has won 107 of 108 resolved trades and is up $76k lifetime.
They have put $76.6k across 5 related Bitcoin markets, suggesting a broader bearish thesis.
Entry at 88¢ is a conservative bet that Bitcoin does not touch $100k by the end of 2026.

$1,229 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%

Profitable crypto bettor

Sharp profitable wallet with an 80% resolved-bet win rate is buying No on BTC hitting $100k by end-2026, with cross-market crypto positioning.

This bettor has won 80% of 20 resolved bets and is up $19.3k lifetime.
They put $4,000 on No at 85¢, backing BTC to stay below $100k through 2026.
The wallet has also positioned across another related market, suggesting a broader crypto thesis.

$4,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%

90% winner fading BTC moonshot

Surface because this is a profitable 90% win-rate wallet taking a fresh No position after prior Yes exposure, despite only moderate signal strength.

This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $2.1K lifetime.
They flipped from a closed Yes position into No, suggesting a fresh bearish view on BTC reaching $100K.
Entry at 85¢ is a high-confidence bet with limited upside but strong historical backing.

$1,699 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%

Profitable cross-market BTC bear

Profitable wallet is building a $22K cross-market bearish Bitcoin thesis, including a $9.4K NO buy that was large relative to recent volume.

This wallet has won 70% of 27 resolved bets and is up $5.5K lifetime.
It has placed $22.3K across 4 related Bitcoin markets, pointing to a consistent bearish BTC thesis.
This $9.4K NO buy was over half the market’s 24h volume, with entry around 83¢.

$9,436 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%

Fresh whale buying BTC NO

Very new wallet is making repeat five-figure-sized crypto bets, including a $5.5k NO buy that was large versus recent market activity.

This wallet is under 4 hours old and has already had $11.3k in flagged large bets.
This $5.5k buy was about 72% of the market’s recent 24h volume, showing concentrated conviction.
They bought NO at 85¢, betting Bitcoin does not touch $100k by the end of 2026.

$5,465 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%