Part of: UFC Fight Night: Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)

UFC Fight Night: Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)

This market will resolve to "Tim Elliott" if Tim Elliott is officially declared the winner of the fight against Steve Erceg at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026. It will resolve to "Steve Erceg" if Steve Erceg is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $43,216.

Categories: Sports, UFC, Games

Notable Trades

Linked cluster piled into Erceg

Strong UFC signal: six-wallet same-direction Erceg buying, including linked wallets and sharp/experienced bettors, drove the price from about 65¢ to 89¢ amid a major volume spike.

Six wallets bought $24K of Steve Erceg at 64–65¢ before the price jumped to 89¢.
Two wallets share a funder, and all six traded the same way within minutes.
One bettor in the cluster wins 83% of resolved bets and is up about $50K.

$24,169 on Steve Erceg

99% winner backing Erceg

A highly profitable UFC/sports bettor with a 99% resolved win rate is buying Steve Erceg at 64¢, supported by a long serial cross-market track record.

This bettor wins 99% of resolved bets and is up $341k lifetime.
They have traded across 120 events with the same 99% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
A $3.9k buy at 64¢ backs Steve Erceg as the clear side despite already being favored.

$3,900 on Steve Erceg | Wallet win rate: 99%

New profitable UFC whale

New profitable wallet is repeatedly making large bets and bought $4.6k of Steve Erceg in a UFC market with meaningful recent price momentum.

This 14-day-old wallet is already up $28.5k and has been flagged 19 times for large bets.
The bettor has won 4 of 5 resolved trades, with wins coming at an average entry price of 40¢.
They bought Steve Erceg at 64¢ as the market has moved 16 points toward this side over the past week.

$4,643 on Steve Erceg | Wallet win rate: 47%

Profitable new UFC whale

A 14-day-old wallet with repeated large bets and strong early profits is buying Steve Erceg in a UFC market at 64¢.

This new wallet is already up $28.5K and has won 4 of 5 resolved bets.
It has made 17 flagged large bets totaling $118.5K, suggesting repeated conviction rather than a one-off punt.
Entry at 64¢ implies the bettor sees Steve Erceg as underpriced despite being the favorite.

$3,398 on Steve Erceg | Wallet win rate: 47%

94% win-rate sharp bettor

A highly profitable sharp bettor with a 94% win rate made a $7.1k buy on Steve Erceg, large enough to dominate this market’s recent volume despite relatively thin liquidity.

This bettor wins 94% of 1,277 resolved trades and is up about $494k lifetime
The $7.1k buy was 3.3x this market’s recent volume, a strong sign of conviction in a thin market
This wallet has bet across 878 markets and 653 events, so this looks like a seasoned operator rather than a one-off punt

$7,106 on Steve Erceg | Wallet win rate: 94%