Part of: UFC Fight Night: Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)
UFC Fight Night: Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $43,216.
Categories: Sports, UFC, Games
Notable Trades
Linked cluster piled into Erceg
Strong UFC signal: six-wallet same-direction Erceg buying, including linked wallets and sharp/experienced bettors, drove the price from about 65¢ to 89¢ amid a major volume spike.
- Six wallets bought $24K of Steve Erceg at 64–65¢ before the price jumped to 89¢.
- Two wallets share a funder, and all six traded the same way within minutes.
- One bettor in the cluster wins 83% of resolved bets and is up about $50K.
$24,169 on Steve Erceg
99% winner backing Erceg
A highly profitable UFC/sports bettor with a 99% resolved win rate is buying Steve Erceg at 64¢, supported by a long serial cross-market track record.
- This bettor wins 99% of resolved bets and is up $341k lifetime.
- They have traded across 120 events with the same 99% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
- A $3.9k buy at 64¢ backs Steve Erceg as the clear side despite already being favored.
$3,900 on Steve Erceg | Wallet win rate: 99%
New profitable UFC whale
New profitable wallet is repeatedly making large bets and bought $4.6k of Steve Erceg in a UFC market with meaningful recent price momentum.
- This 14-day-old wallet is already up $28.5k and has been flagged 19 times for large bets.
- The bettor has won 4 of 5 resolved trades, with wins coming at an average entry price of 40¢.
- They bought Steve Erceg at 64¢ as the market has moved 16 points toward this side over the past week.
$4,643 on Steve Erceg | Wallet win rate: 80%
Profitable new UFC whale
A 14-day-old wallet with repeated large bets and strong early profits is buying Steve Erceg in a UFC market at 64¢.
- This new wallet is already up $28.5K and has won 4 of 5 resolved bets.
- It has made 17 flagged large bets totaling $118.5K, suggesting repeated conviction rather than a one-off punt.
- Entry at 64¢ implies the bettor sees Steve Erceg as underpriced despite being the favorite.
$3,398 on Steve Erceg | Wallet win rate: 80%
94% win-rate sharp bettor
A highly profitable sharp bettor with a 94% win rate made a $7.1k buy on Steve Erceg, large enough to dominate this market’s recent volume despite relatively thin liquidity.
- This bettor wins 94% of 1,277 resolved trades and is up about $494k lifetime
- The $7.1k buy was 3.3x this market’s recent volume, a strong sign of conviction in a thin market
- This wallet has bet across 878 markets and 653 events, so this looks like a seasoned operator rather than a one-off punt
$7,106 on Steve Erceg | Wallet win rate: 92%
Top Holders
- 0x8a3a...eb9a — Outcome 77016006, $87,029 (100% win rate)
- 0xefdd...017f — Outcome 77016006, $17,646 (96% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 77016006, $17,524 (69% win rate)
- 0x31b6...2d92 — Outcome 77016006, $11,480 (46% win rate)
- 0x9c1c...7980 — Outcome 77016006, $7,750 (69% win rate)
- 0xaf84...0b5e — Outcome 77016006, $4,628
- 0x0979...8d9b — Outcome 77016006, $2,632 (69% win rate)
- 0xa1d7...a70c — Outcome 77016006, $2,343 (43% win rate)
- 0xe911...3d4e — Outcome 77016006, $1,358 (65% win rate)
- 0xb045...d4ce — Outcome 77016006, $1,344
