Part of: Sweden vs. Greece

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04?

15 smart money signals detected, totaling $36,954.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Fifa Friendly

Notable Trades

97% win-rate sports trader

Surfacing because a highly proven cross-market trader with a 97% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Sweden Yes despite the market already moving sharply upward.

  • This bettor has won 97% of 1,455 resolved bets and is up $64k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 77 events with over $523k flagged in similar activity.
  • Sweden has already moved up 35 points today, and this trade adds conviction at 85¢.

$4,255 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 97%

Profitable sports regular

Moderately interesting because a highly profitable, high-volume sports trader bought Sweden Yes amid a large pre-event volume spike and strong price momentum, though the bet size is modest for this liquid market.

  • This bettor is up $3.4M lifetime across more than $243M traded.
  • They bought Sweden at 85¢ while the market has seen an 18.7x pre-event volume spike.
  • The market has moved strongly toward Sweden, up 35 percentage points over the last day.

$2,852 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 55%

97% win-rate cross-market bettor

Surfacing because this is a highly proven cross-market bettor with a 97% resolved win rate buying into a major upward move on Sweden.

  • This bettor has won 97% of 1,455 resolved bets and is up $64k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 76 events with over $521k in tracked activity.
  • Sweden’s Yes price has jumped 35 points in 24 hours, and this buy follows that strong momentum.

$1,660 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 97%

93% win-rate sports sharp

A highly proven bettor with a 93% win rate and nearly $961k lifetime profit bought No on Sweden, making the wallet track record the core signal.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up about $961k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 374 events with the same 93% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
  • They bought No at 60¢, taking the view that Sweden does not win in regulation.

$1,163 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable high-volume cross-market bettor with a long track record is taking a contrarian Sweden Yes position after a sharp price drop.

  • This bettor is up $219,780 across 292 resolved markets, with a 59% win record.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 86 events and nearly $295k of detected related bets.
  • They bought Sweden at 19¢ after the market fell about 30 points in the past day.

$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%

Sharp serial cross-market trader

Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 84% win rate sold No, effectively buying Sweden Yes, though this may be profit-taking from an earlier No position.

  • This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $35K lifetime across 878 outcomes.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 33 events, which is the main signal here.
  • Caveat: this looks like closing a profitable No position, not a clean fresh Sweden bet.

$2,130 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%

Million-profit serial trader

Profitable high-volume serial sports trader bought Sweden No at 70¢ before the market moved to 80¢.

  • This bettor is up $1.09M across more than 10,000 resolved trades.
  • They have traded 125 related events, suggesting a repeatable sports-market process.
  • They bought No at 70¢ and the market has already moved to 80¢.

$1,314 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%

93% winner backs No cluster

Surface this: three wallets are aligned on Sweden not winning, led by a 93% winner with nearly $1M profit and strong cross-market sports history.

  • A bettor who wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $960K is buying No here.
  • Three wallets all moved the same way, totaling $3.6K against a Sweden win.
  • Sweden’s win odds have fallen sharply, down 16 points in the past day.

$3,614 on No

Sharp sports bettor buying Yes

Sharp sports bettor with an 88% record and positive P&L is buying Sweden at 55¢ despite only modest trade size.

  • This bettor has won 15 of 17 resolved trades and is up $8.7k lifetime.
  • Their wins came at average odds of 71%, so an 88% hit rate suggests a real edge.
  • Entry at 55¢ implies they see Sweden as underpriced despite the market already moving up 7 points today.

$1,650 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%

84% winner cross-market sharp

Surfacing because this is a proven profitable bettor with an 84% win rate and extensive cross-market history buying Sweden No despite only a modest single trade.

  • This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $34,450 lifetime.
  • They have traded across 32 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-market process rather than a one-off bet.
  • Entry at 50¢ on No means they were betting against Sweden at roughly even money.

$1,500 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%

Top Holders

  1. 0xbe7e...6d00 Outcome 44004830, $10,508 (71% win rate)
  2. 0xf47b...7b14 Outcome 44004830, $8,653
  3. 0xdd16...5cf0 Outcome 44004830, $6,944 (59% win rate)
  4. 0x5019...7d1f Outcome 44004830, $5,071 (67% win rate)
  5. 0x08a4...5c3f Outcome 44004830, $5,000 (89% win rate)
  6. 0x4d56...c0d8 Outcome 44004830, $4,823 (70% win rate)
  7. 0xef04...f6e3 Outcome 44004830, $3,766 (88% win rate)
  8. 0xa5eb...93bf Outcome 44004830, $3,575 (71% win rate)
  9. 0x1050...43af Outcome 44004830, $3,000 (94% win rate)
  10. 0xc23d...82c8 Outcome 44004830, $2,852 (88% win rate)

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Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04?

ResolvedSweden vs. Greece$36,954 tracked15 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFifa Friendly

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 4, 2026 If Sweden wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Notable Trades

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04?

45d ago

$4,255 on Yes at 85¢

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04?

45d ago

$2,852 on Yes at 85¢

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04?

45d ago

$1,660 on Yes at 83¢

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04?

45d ago

$1,163 on No at 60¢

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04?

45d ago

$2,000 on Yes at 19¢

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04?

45d ago

$2,130 on Yes at 29¢

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04?

45d ago

$1,314 on No at 70¢

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04?

45d ago

$3,614 on No at 68¢

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04?

45d ago

$1,650 on Yes at 55¢

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04?

45d ago

$1,500 on No at 50¢

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04?

45d ago

$6,770 on Yes at 52¢

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04?

45d ago

$2,436 on No at 49¢

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04?

45d ago

$1,125 on No at 50¢

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04?

45d ago

$2,035 on Yes at 50¢

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04?

46d ago

$2,449 on Yes at 49¢

Related Theses