Part of: Sweden vs. Greece
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04?
15 smart money signals detected, totaling $36,954.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Fifa Friendly
Notable Trades
97% win-rate sports trader
Surfacing because a highly proven cross-market trader with a 97% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Sweden Yes despite the market already moving sharply upward.
- This bettor has won 97% of 1,455 resolved bets and is up $64k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 77 events with over $523k flagged in similar activity.
- Sweden has already moved up 35 points today, and this trade adds conviction at 85¢.
$4,255 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 97%
Profitable sports regular
Moderately interesting because a highly profitable, high-volume sports trader bought Sweden Yes amid a large pre-event volume spike and strong price momentum, though the bet size is modest for this liquid market.
- This bettor is up $3.4M lifetime across more than $243M traded.
- They bought Sweden at 85¢ while the market has seen an 18.7x pre-event volume spike.
- The market has moved strongly toward Sweden, up 35 percentage points over the last day.
$2,852 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 55%
97% win-rate cross-market bettor
Surfacing because this is a highly proven cross-market bettor with a 97% resolved win rate buying into a major upward move on Sweden.
- This bettor has won 97% of 1,455 resolved bets and is up $64k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 76 events with over $521k in tracked activity.
- Sweden’s Yes price has jumped 35 points in 24 hours, and this buy follows that strong momentum.
$1,660 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 97%
93% win-rate sports sharp
A highly proven bettor with a 93% win rate and nearly $961k lifetime profit bought No on Sweden, making the wallet track record the core signal.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up about $961k lifetime.
- They have traded across 374 events with the same 93% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
- They bought No at 60¢, taking the view that Sweden does not win in regulation.
$1,163 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume cross-market bettor with a long track record is taking a contrarian Sweden Yes position after a sharp price drop.
- This bettor is up $219,780 across 292 resolved markets, with a 59% win record.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 86 events and nearly $295k of detected related bets.
- They bought Sweden at 19¢ after the market fell about 30 points in the past day.
$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%
Sharp serial cross-market trader
Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 84% win rate sold No, effectively buying Sweden Yes, though this may be profit-taking from an earlier No position.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $35K lifetime across 878 outcomes.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 33 events, which is the main signal here.
- Caveat: this looks like closing a profitable No position, not a clean fresh Sweden bet.
$2,130 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%
Million-profit serial trader
Profitable high-volume serial sports trader bought Sweden No at 70¢ before the market moved to 80¢.
- This bettor is up $1.09M across more than 10,000 resolved trades.
- They have traded 125 related events, suggesting a repeatable sports-market process.
- They bought No at 70¢ and the market has already moved to 80¢.
$1,314 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%
93% winner backs No cluster
Surface this: three wallets are aligned on Sweden not winning, led by a 93% winner with nearly $1M profit and strong cross-market sports history.
- A bettor who wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $960K is buying No here.
- Three wallets all moved the same way, totaling $3.6K against a Sweden win.
- Sweden’s win odds have fallen sharply, down 16 points in the past day.
$3,614 on No
Sharp sports bettor buying Yes
Sharp sports bettor with an 88% record and positive P&L is buying Sweden at 55¢ despite only modest trade size.
- This bettor has won 15 of 17 resolved trades and is up $8.7k lifetime.
- Their wins came at average odds of 71%, so an 88% hit rate suggests a real edge.
- Entry at 55¢ implies they see Sweden as underpriced despite the market already moving up 7 points today.
$1,650 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%
84% winner cross-market sharp
Surfacing because this is a proven profitable bettor with an 84% win rate and extensive cross-market history buying Sweden No despite only a modest single trade.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $34,450 lifetime.
- They have traded across 32 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-market process rather than a one-off bet.
- Entry at 50¢ on No means they were betting against Sweden at roughly even money.
$1,500 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%
Top Holders
- 0xbe7e...6d00 — Outcome 44004830, $10,508 (71% win rate)
- 0xf47b...7b14 — Outcome 44004830, $8,653
- 0xdd16...5cf0 — Outcome 44004830, $6,944 (59% win rate)
- 0x5019...7d1f — Outcome 44004830, $5,071 (67% win rate)
- 0x08a4...5c3f — Outcome 44004830, $5,000 (89% win rate)
- 0x4d56...c0d8 — Outcome 44004830, $4,823 (70% win rate)
- 0xef04...f6e3 — Outcome 44004830, $3,766 (88% win rate)
- 0xa5eb...93bf — Outcome 44004830, $3,575 (71% win rate)
- 0x1050...43af — Outcome 44004830, $3,000 (94% win rate)
- 0xc23d...82c8 — Outcome 44004830, $2,852 (88% win rate)
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