Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $12,695.
Categories: Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Bitcoin, Up or Down, Today 🚀, Daily, Daily-Close
Notable Trades
86% winning BTC bettor
Despite a weak price-impact alert, the buyer is a proven high-volume winner taking Down at 90% in a liquid BTC daily market.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $22,494 lifetime.
- They have a large 250-bet track record with $548,502 invested.
- Bought Down at 90¢ after a fast 12-point move, suggesting confidence despite short odds.
$1,451 on Down | Wallet win rate: 86%
Profitable new BTC bettor
A week-old wallet with early profits and repeat large-bet flags bought Down at 80¢ before it moved to 86¢.
- This new wallet is already up $1,025 with 5 wins in 6 resolved bets.
- They bought $1,570 of Down at 80¢, and the market has already moved to 86¢.
- This is the wallet’s third flagged large bet, with $4,044 total across recent positions.
$1,570 on Down | Wallet win rate: 83%
Profitable serial crypto trader
A highly experienced profitable cross-market trader bought Down at 68¢ ahead of a fast 12-point move to 78¢, though the market is already more expensive now.
- This bettor is up $374K lifetime across 1,762 resolved bets.
- They have traded 241 markets across 136 events, showing a repeat cross-market pattern.
- Their 68¢ Down entry moved quickly to 78¢, matching a 12-point price jump in minutes.
$1,021 on Down | Wallet win rate: 58%
Profitable serial crypto trader
Profitable high-volume serial cross-market trader bought Down at 39¢ before a rapid move to 52¢, though the market is liquid and the signal is moderate.
- This bettor has traded 1,762 resolved markets and is up $374K lifetime.
- They bought Down at 39¢ before it quickly moved to 52¢.
- This wallet is highly active across 136 events, suggesting a repeatable crypto-market strategy.
$2,524 on Down | Wallet win rate: 58%
Profitable serial trader flips Up
Serial high-volume cross-market trader with a large profitable history bought Up after closing the opposite side, suggesting a fresh directional flip despite only a modest signal score.
- This bettor is up $373K lifetime across more than 1,700 resolved bets.
- They actively trade many related markets, with $2.29M flagged across 240 markets in 135 events.
- They closed a Down position and bought $3.1K of Up at 82¢, signaling a fresh directional flip.
$3,124 on Up | Wallet win rate: 58%
Profitable serial crypto bettor
Profitable high-volume cross-market trader bought Up at 77¢ on a BTC market already showing strong upward momentum.
- This bettor has won 60% of 1,483 resolved bets and is up about $364K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 46 events and 73 markets.
- BTC Up has moved sharply higher today, and this buy came near the current 78–79¢ market price.
$1,719 on Up | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable serial crypto trader
Serial cross-market trader with a large profitable history bought Up amid a major pre-event volume spike and strong 1-day momentum.
- This bettor has a huge history: 1,483 resolved bets, 60% wins, and about $364k in profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 45 events with nearly $600k flagged in similar activity.
- The market has surged 21.5 points in a day with a 352x volume spike, supporting the Up momentum thesis.
$1,285 on Up | Wallet win rate: 60%
Top Holders
- 0x53a4...5100 — Outcome 68831298, $5,045
- 0xe9c6...95c9 — Outcome 68831298, $2,971 (49% win rate)
- 0x0fe4...01b7 — Outcome 74211424, $2,393 (60% win rate)
- 0x1ca9...5bc5 — Outcome 68831298, $2,149
- 0xfdc0...e6a1 — Outcome 68831298, $2,118 (54% win rate)
- 0x801d...d8e0 — Outcome 68831298, $2,000 (73% win rate)
- 0x0e3c...6e60 — Outcome 68831298, $1,380
- 0x9595...ad5e — Outcome 68831298, $1,267
- 0x1590...adaf — Outcome 68831298, $1,140 (91% win rate)
- 0x2b78...47cd — Outcome 68831298, $1,040
Related Theses
Bitcoin tops $80,000 by May 10
Covers 1 related market
