Part of: 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament: Winner
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $50,022.
Categories: Chess, Sports, FIDE candidates, Candidates Open
Notable Trades
84% win-rate specialist
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 84% win rate is buying into this chess market despite already elevated odds, suggesting informed conviction worth tracking.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up about $273k across $2.37M invested
- They have traded 76 markets across 41 events, so this is a proven repeat operator rather than a one-off bet
- They bought at 87¢ even after a 70-point weekly move, signaling they still see value at a high price
$1,744 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%
Proven $3.2M chess bettor
A highly profitable, high-volume wallet with a 75% win rate is making a sizable cross-market bet in a fast-rising Candidates market, making this worth surfacing despite the rich price.
- This bettor has won 745 of 999 resolved trades and is up $3.2M lifetime.
- They trade across related events at scale, with $1.29M tracked across 109 markets and a 75% win rate.
- They just paid 84¢ in a market up 67 points in a week, showing conviction even after a sharp move.
$7,556 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 75%
Sharp cross-market chess bettor
A highly profitable wallet with a 75% win rate across 999 resolved bets is making a sizable cross-market bet in a fast-rising Candidates market, making this worth surfacing despite the rich 84¢ entry.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $3.2M across nearly 1,000 bets.
- They've traded 4 markets tied to this event and 109 related markets overall, showing a repeatable event-driven approach.
- They bought at 84¢ after this market jumped 16 points in a day, signaling conviction even after a big move.
$5,518 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 75%
Proven cross-market winner
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 75% win rate and $3.18M in profits just made a sizable buy into a fast-moving chess market amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $3.2M lifetime across nearly 1,000 bets.
- They put $7.5k into Yes at 84¢ while this market's volume jumped 106x and price is up 16 points in a day.
- This wallet trades across many related markets with a long profitable history, which makes this look like a deliberate event view rather than a random punt.
$7,517 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 75%
Sharp cross-market chess bettor
A highly profitable wallet with a massive 999-bet sample and $3.18M P&L is making a fresh $8.5k buy in a fast-rising Candidates market, making this a credible signal worth surfacing.
- This bettor wins 75% of 999 resolved trades and is up $3.2M lifetime.
- They just put $8.5k into Yes at 84¢ while this event has been traded across 4 related markets.
- The market is already moving fast, up 17.5 points in a day and 68 points in a week.
$8,511 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 75%
Proven cross-market sharp
A highly profitable wallet with a 75% win rate across 997 resolved bets made a large $15.3k buy as part of a broader multi-market Candidates Tournament thesis.
- This bettor wins 75% of their bets across 997 resolved markets and is up $3.16M lifetime
- They put $15.3k on Yes at 68¢ while also trading 4 markets tied to the same event
- The market has already moved hard higher, up 17 points in a day and 53 points in a week
$15,266 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 75%
Profitable bettor fading surge
A profitable high-volume wallet bought No after a sharp 51-point reset in this market, adding directional conviction during a major repricing.
- This wallet has made 566 resolved bets and is up $327.9k overall
- They bought No at 33¢ right after a huge 51-point move, suggesting they think the repricing went too far
- The market is active but not crowded, and this single trade still put nearly $3.9k behind that view
$3,911 on No | Wallet win rate: 49%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 50002168, $283,825
- 0xe8c2...3048 — Outcome 50002168, $27,821 (100% win rate)
- 0xcb04...8b8a — Outcome 50002168, $5,003
- 0x6507...4c1f — Outcome 50002168, $4,942
- 0x129f...ca97 — Outcome 50002168, $4,776
- 0x3080...971b — Outcome 50002168, $4,398 (50% win rate)
- 0x8da2...ab27 — Outcome 50002168, $4,000
- 0xaf71...c21d — Outcome 50002168, $2,455
- 0x28b2...eb4f — Outcome 50002168, $2,244 (68% win rate)
- 0xb0d0...071f — Outcome 50002168, $2,232
Related Theses
Fujimori loses Peru election
Covers 7 related markets
