2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament: Winner
8 signals across 2 markets · $51,363 tracked · resolves Apr 17, 2026
This event tracks Polymarket prediction-market odds for the winner of the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament, scheduled for March 29–April 16, 2026. Current child markets include whether Fabiano Caruana or Javokhir Sindarov will win, with PolySpotter tracking $51,363 in smart money and 8 recent signals across the event.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Proven cross-market winner
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 75% win rate and $3.18M in profits just made a sizable buy into a fast-moving chess market amid a major volume spike.
$7,517Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 9.5 - Proven cross-market sharp
A highly profitable wallet with a 75% win rate across 997 resolved bets made a large $15.3k buy as part of a broader multi-market Candidates Tournament thesis.
$15,266Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 8.0 - Sharp cross-market chess bettor
A highly profitable wallet with a massive 999-bet sample and $3.18M P&L is making a fresh $8.5k buy in a fast-rising Candidates market, making this a credible signal worth surfacing.
$8,511Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 8.0 - Sharp cross-market chess bettor
A highly profitable wallet with a 75% win rate across 999 resolved bets is making a sizable cross-market bet in a fast-rising Candidates market, making this worth surfacing despite the rich 84¢ entry.
$5,518Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 7.0 - Proven $3.2M chess bettor
A highly profitable, high-volume wallet with a 75% win rate is making a sizable cross-market bet in a fast-rising Candidates market, making this worth surfacing despite the rich price.
$7,556Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 7.0 - 84% win-rate specialist
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 84% win rate is buying into this chess market despite already elevated odds, suggesting informed conviction worth tracking.
$1,744Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 6.0 - Proven cross-market winner
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 74% win rate and $3.15M P&L bought No, and the market has already moved in their favor from 74% to 78%.
$1,341Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 4.0 - Profitable bettor fading surge
A profitable high-volume wallet bought No after a sharp 51-point reset in this market, adding directional conviction during a major repricing.
$3,911Wallet win rate: 44%Score: 2.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xf2f6af…5817$45,708 · 2 markets · 6 alerts · 75% wins
- 0xe72bb5…b0a0$3,911 · 1 market · 1 alert · 44% wins
- 0xdc03d6…804c$1,744 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
FAQs
What are the odds for the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament winner?
The event hub shows Polymarket odds for listed Candidates winner outcomes, including markets on Fabiano Caruana and Javokhir Sindarov. Odds can move as tournament qualification, form, and betting activity change.
Who is smart money betting on in the 2026 FIDE Candidates market?
PolySpotter tracks smart money across the event, with $51,363 monitored and 8 signals so far. Recent alerts include activity from a proven $3.2M chess bettor and multiple sharp cross-market chess bettors.
Is this a single market or an event with multiple outcomes?
This is an event hub covering multiple related child markets for the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament winner. Each child market represents whether a specific player wins the tournament.
When does the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve after the tournament winner is declared, with a listed resolve-by date of April 17, 2026. If the tournament is cancelled, heavily postponed, or no winner is declared within the specified timeframe, the event rules may resolve to “Other.”}]} -cmpr zoological باغ? No JSON? Wait final channel with response_format likely okay. It added weird? It seems assistant output has JSON and perhaps
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