Part of: Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

This prediction market covers the Counter-Strike 2 best-of-three quarterfinal match between Spirit and G2 in the PGL Astana Playoffs, scheduled for May 15 at 4:00AM ET. It resolves to Spirit if Spirit win the match, or G2 if G2 win; if the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days without a winner, it resolves 50-50. PolySpotter is tracking $7,500 in smart money activity and 1 signal on this market.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 2 match between Spirit and G2 in the PGL Astana Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 15 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against G2. This market will resolve to "G2" if G2 win the match against Spirit. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $28,972.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

89% winner buying favorite

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 89% resolved win rate and $300k profit is buying Spirit for $7.5k.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $300k lifetime.
  • They are a very active cross-market trader, with $1.68M deployed across 173 events.
  • A $7.5k buy at 69¢ shows fresh conviction on Spirit despite an already liquid market.

$7,500 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 89%

87% winner buying favorite

Sharp esports bettor with an 87% win rate and strong positive P&L bought Spirit at 69¢ despite only a modest position size.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $14.4K lifetime.
  • Their past bets beat market odds by a wide margin, winning at 56¢ average entry prices.
  • They bought Spirit at 69¢, adding support to the favorite after a 4-point move today.

$1,399 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 87%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Serial cross-market bettor with a long profitable history bought Spirit at 69% in a liquid CS match, making the wallet track record the main signal despite a modest alert score.

  • This bettor has won 69% of 760 resolved markets and is up $856K lifetime.
  • They are a very active cross-market trader, with nearly $3.9M tracked across 420 events.
  • Buying Spirit at 69¢ suggests confidence despite the market already favoring them.

$1,794 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 69%

New wallet repeat whale

A 7-hour-old wallet has now made three large flagged bets totaling $8.5k and is buying Spirit in a liquid esports market, suggesting fresh high-conviction positioning despite limited history.

  • This wallet is only 7 hours old but has already placed three large flagged bets totaling $8.5k.
  • The bettor is adding a $2.9k buy on Spirit at 68¢ in a market with tight liquidity and strong recent volume.
  • Early history is limited, but the wallet is up $1.8k on its first resolved position.

$2,851 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 100%

Profitable serial esports bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with $856k lifetime profit is buying Spirit at 68¢, though the stake is modest relative to market liquidity.

  • This bettor has won 69% of 760 resolved trades and is up $856k lifetime.
  • They are a major repeat trader across 417 events with nearly $3.9M in flagged cross-market activity.
  • Entry at 68¢ suggests they still see value on Spirit despite the market already pricing them as the favorite.

$1,742 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 69%

80% winner buying favorite

Sharp esports bettor with a large 416-bet sample, 80% win rate, and $146k lifetime profit is buying Spirit at 68%.

  • This bettor wins 80% of their resolved bets and is up $146k lifetime.
  • Their track record is based on 416 resolved positions, so the edge is meaningful rather than a small sample.
  • They bought Spirit at 68¢, implying confidence that the current favorite is still underpriced.

$1,686 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 80%

93% winner buying big

Elite sports bettor with a 93% documented win rate and strong cross-market history bought $12K of Spirit at 65¢.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $255,731 lifetime.
  • They have a long cross-market sports record: 139 events and $710,084 traded with the same 93% hit rate.
  • The $12,000 buy is larger than the market’s prior 24h volume, showing strong conviction at 65¢.

$12,000 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 93%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5e6e...be00 G2, $34,001 (52% win rate)
  2. 0x1136...0c2e Spirit, $20,000 (100% win rate)
  3. 0x6902...b4ca Spirit, $18,369 (93% win rate)
  4. 0x29b5...cc6c G2, $15,973 (59% win rate)
  5. 0xa7df...5eee G2, $15,000 (48% win rate)
  6. 0x7645...3117 G2, $12,000 (50% win rate)
  7. 0xf559...f462 Spirit, $10,870 (89% win rate)
  8. 0x182d...73e9 G2, $10,022 (39% win rate)
  9. 0x49ac...2f1e Spirit, $7,246 (54% win rate)
  10. 0x6304...e570 Spirit, $5,929 (50% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

3hCounter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$28,972 tracked7 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
Spirit
69¢
G2
32¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 2 match between Spirit and G2 in the PGL Astana Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 15 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against G2. This market will resolve to "G2" if G2 win the match against Spirit. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Spirit
70¢
66¢
63¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

12h ago

$7,500 on Spirit at 69¢

69¢69¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

13h ago

$1,399 on Spirit at 69¢

69¢69¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

13h ago

$1,794 on Spirit at 69¢

69¢69¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

14h ago

$2,851 on Spirit at 68¢

68¢69¢1¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

15h ago

$1,742 on Spirit at 68¢

68¢69¢1¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

17h ago

$1,686 on Spirit at 68¢

68¢69¢1¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

1d ago

$12,000 on Spirit at 65¢

65¢69¢4¢

Related Theses