Part of: Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs
This prediction market covers the Counter-Strike 2 quarterfinal BO3 between Spirit and G2 in the PGL Astana Playoffs, scheduled for May 15 at 4:00AM ET. It resolves to Spirit if Spirit win the match, to G2 if G2 win, and to 50-50 if the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days without a winner. PolySpotter is tracking $5,093 in smart money and 1 recent signal, including sharp activity around Spirit.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 2 match between Spirit and G2 in the PGL Astana Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 15 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against G2. This market will resolve to "G2" if G2 win the match against Spirit. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
27 smart money signals detected, totaling $215,155.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable serial esports bettor
Serial cross-market esports trader with a long profitable history added over $5k on Spirit across a match where odds have already moved sharply in Spirit’s favor.
- This bettor has a large track record: 954 resolved bets, 60% wins, and $83k profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with $1.7M placed across 280 events.
- They bought Spirit around 85–88¢ after a 19-point move, suggesting continued confidence despite the price jump.
$5,093 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 60%
86% cross-market sharp
Sharp profitable wallet with an 86% resolved win rate and extensive cross-market history bought Spirit despite the price having since moved against them.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved bets and is up $60K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 33 events with $230K staked.
- Bought Spirit at 78¢; the market is now 71¢, giving a cheaper entry than the sharp paid.
$1,292 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 86%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a positive long-term record bought Spirit amid a strong pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has traded 329 markets across 280 events and is up $79k lifetime.
- They win 60% of resolved bets over a large 952-bet sample, suggesting a real but moderate edge.
- The buy came during a 27x pre-event volume spike, with Spirit already moving up 3.5% on the day.
$2,707 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable serial bettor
Profitable high-volume serial trader put $12.6k on Spirit amid a major pre-match volume spike.
- This bettor has won 60% of 952 resolved bets and is up $79k lifetime.
- They put $12.6k on Spirit at 71¢ across two buys before the match.
- Market volume is surging 22.6x above its usual pace, supporting the move.
$12,616 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable serial event trader
Profitable serial cross-market bettor is buying Spirit amid a large pre-event volume spike and modest upward price momentum.
- This bettor wins 65% of resolved trades and is up $18.4K lifetime.
- They have traded across 42 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market approach rather than a one-off bet.
- Market activity is 22.6x above its historical average, with Spirit already up 3.5 points today.
$1,600 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 65%
Profitable serial esports bettor
A profitable serial cross-market sports/esports bettor with 952 resolved bets bought nearly $10k of Spirit amid a pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has a deep track record: 952 resolved bets, 60% winners, and about $79k in profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $1.68M deployed across 280 events, suggesting specialized event-level coverage.
- Nearly $10k went into Spirit at 71¢ as market volume ran 12x above normal before the match.
$9,909 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 60%
98% winner backs G2
Surfaced because an exceptionally profitable 98% winner joined a 3-wallet one-sided G2 buy cluster during a major pre-match volume spike.
- A bettor who wins 98% of resolved trades is buying G2 and is up $3.85M lifetime.
- Three wallets bought the same underdog side for $10.9K total at 30–31¢.
- Market volume is spiking 47x above normal before the match, adding weight to the G2 move.
$10,890 on G2
99% win-rate esports sharp
A highly proven esports bettor with a 99% historical win rate bought Spirit amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 276 of 280 resolved positions and is up $172,631 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 30 events with a 99% hit rate.
- Their $3,671 Spirit buy came during an 86.7x volume spike before the match.
$3,671 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 99%
94% esports sharp
Sharp esports bettor with a 94% resolved win rate and strong cross-market history bought Spirit amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 34 of 36 resolved bets and is up $43,931 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 34 events with a 94% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable esports edge.
- Spirit was bought at 70¢ during an 86.7x pre-event volume spike, with market price already moving up 3%.
$2,000 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 94%
Profitable serial esports bettor
Sharp serial esports trader with a 75% record and $212k profit bought nearly $10k of Spirit amid a large pre-match volume spike.
- This bettor has won 75% of 165 resolved bets and is up $212,770 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 26 events, with over $102,000 tracked in this pattern.
- They bought $9,718 of Spirit at 70¢ as market volume spiked 86.7x before the match.
$9,718 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 75%
Top Holders
- 0xfc25...1f7f — Spirit, $116,679 (95% win rate)
- 0x3d91...a5fd — G2, $72,500 (100% win rate)
- 0xefe5...6f6b — Spirit, $72,000 (81% win rate)
- 0xd888...3c9f — G2, $62,869 (60% win rate)
- 0x1341...0853 — G2, $55,109 (87% win rate)
- 0x88d1...18da — Spirit, $50,340 (69% win rate)
- 0x5e6e...be00 — G2, $48,296 (52% win rate)
- 0xdd88...dadb — Spirit, $44,591 (60% win rate)
- 0xa9c4...7433 — G2, $41,471 (79% win rate)
- 0x29b5...cc6c — G2, $35,063 (59% win rate)
