Part of: Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

This prediction market tracks whether Tyler Robinson will be convicted of any criminal homicide offense in STATE OF UTAH v. TYLER JAMES ROBINSON. The market rules say it resolves “Yes” if a qualifying conviction occurs by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; PolySpotter has tracked $5,757 in smart-money activity, with the latest alert showing a repeat whale buying “No.”

Tyler Robinson has been charged with Aggravated Murder by The State of Utah for the death of Charlie Kirk. You can read more about that here: https://atty.utahcounty.gov/cms/uploads/TJR_Information_49872215e3.pdf This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tyler Robinson is convicted of any criminal homicide offense in the ongoing STATE OF UTAH v. TYLER JAMES ROBINSON (OTN: 70090584) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No". If this specific charge is dropped, or otherwise changed such that it is no longer considered a criminal homicide offense (https://le.utah.gov/xcode/Title76/Chapter5/76-5-S201.html), this market will immediately resolve to "No". If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a homicide conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $5,757.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Charlie, Charlie Kirk, Trump, Kirk

Notable Trades

New repeat whale buying NO

A 7-day-old wallet with repeated large flagged bets is adding a $5.8k NO position into a market already trending toward NO.

  • This 7-day-old wallet has already placed 6 large flagged bets totaling about $20.9k.
  • They bought $5.8k of NO at 58¢, and the market has already moved to 60¢.
  • The market has been trending toward NO, with YES down 14 points over the past week.

$5,757 on No

Top Holders

  1. 0xf17c...0c29 Yes, $13,816 (73% win rate)
  2. 0xa7a6...8117 Yes, $10,516 (95% win rate)
  3. 0xe4de...c949 No, $10,000
  4. 0x96f7...d6ae No, $9,553 (77% win rate)
  5. 0xf44d...60af Yes, $6,141 (54% win rate)
  6. 0x00d1...c8a4 No, $5,987 (100% win rate)
  7. 0xb1ca...1705 No, $3,751 (59% win rate)
  8. 0xfc14...2e9b Yes, $3,227
  9. 0x6404...f250 No, $3,088 (65% win rate)
  10. 0x2b9d...adc0 No, $3,073 (50% win rate)

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

164dTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?$5,757 tracked1 signalCulturePoliticsCharlieCharlie KirkTrumpKirk
Yes
46¢
No
55¢

Tyler Robinson has been charged with Aggravated Murder by The State of Utah for the death of Charlie Kirk. You can read more about that here: https://atty.utahcounty.gov/cms/uploads/TJR_Information_49872215e3.pdf This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tyler Robinson is convicted of any criminal homicide offense in the ongoing STATE OF UTAH v. TYLER JAMES ROBINSON (OTN: 70090584) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No". If this specific charge is dropped, or otherwise changed such that it is no longer considered a criminal homicide offense (https://le.utah.gov/xcode/Title76/Chapter5/76-5-S201.html), this market will immediately resolve to "No". If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a homicide conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.

Price History — “No
57¢
54¢
51¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

15d ago

$5,757 on No at 58¢

58¢55¢3¢