Part of: Lightning vs. Canadiens

Lightning vs. Canadiens

14 smart money signals detected, totaling $99,534.

Categories: Sports, NHL, Games, Hockey

Notable Trades

Sharp cluster buys huge underdog

A 6-wallet cluster piled into the Canadiens side during a violent price swing, and two of the wallets have unusually strong long-term records, making this coordinated underdog bet worth watching despite the market moving sharply against them afterward.

  • Six wallets lined up on the Canadiens side for $22.2k in a few minutes, a strong one-way bet on a 6% underdog.
  • Two of the wallets stand out: one wins 80% of 1,068 resolved bets and is up $622k, while another wins 78% of 76 bets and is up $84.6k.
  • The market saw a 21.5x volume spike and a fast 24-point move, showing this was part of a real information-driven scramble rather than routine trading.

$22,247 on Canadiens

94% win-rate sports bettor

A proven sharp sports bettor with a 94% win rate bought Canadiens at 50¢, making this a strong copy-trade despite the market being liquid and the stake modest.

  • This bettor wins 94% of their trades and is up $31.8k across 64 resolved positions
  • They have placed $66.3k across 35 related markets, showing a repeatable cross-market sports betting edge
  • Bought Canadiens at 50¢ before the price slipped to 48¢, offering a similar entry on the same side

$1,379 on Canadiens | Wallet win rate: 92%

81% win-rate sports bettor

A highly profitable 81% win-rate sports trader sold Canadiens at 72¢, which converts to buying Lightning around 28¢ after a sharp move and volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 81% of their trades and is up $1.68M across 1,145 resolved positions.
  • The trade effectively buys Lightning at 28¢ after Canadiens jumped, suggesting they see the favorite as overpriced.
  • This wallet has made $209.9k of bets across 33 related markets, so this looks like a repeatable sports-trading edge rather than a one-off punt.

$2,160 on Lightning | Wallet win rate: 82%

Sharp bettor buying Lightning

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor sold Canadiens into a sharp pregame move, which translates to buying Lightning around 27¢.

  • This bettor has won 69% of 768 resolved markets and is up $5.2M lifetime.
  • Their $6.5k trade came during a 16.5x pregame volume spike as prices moved fast.
  • Selling Canadiens at 73¢ is equivalent to buying Lightning at 27¢, a cheap entry if their read is right.

$6,507 on Lightning | Wallet win rate: 70%

Sharp trio fading favorite

Three wallets sold Canadiens into a sharp pregame move, including two highly profitable serial cross-market traders with strong long-term records, making this coordinated bet against the favorite worth following.

  • Two bettors in this cluster have strong records: one wins 81% of 1,145 resolved bets and another is up $5.2M lifetime.
  • All 3 wallets hit the same side for nearly $17k in minutes, selling Canadiens around 72-73¢.
  • The market was already moving hard against Canadiens, with an 18.5x volume spike and a 17.7-point price drop.

$16,954 on Lightning

Profitable sports grinder following steam

A high-volume sports bettor with a long profitable track record bought Canadiens at 74¢ into a sharp volume and price surge, making this a solid momentum-follow signal despite the market being liquid.

  • This bettor has won 65% of 2,737 resolved markets and is up $713k lifetime
  • They bought Canadiens at 74¢ as this market saw a 20x volume spike and a fast 13-point move
  • The market is liquid, so this looks more like a sharp bettor joining strong momentum than a random whale print

$2,977 on Canadiens | Wallet win rate: 67%

Pro sports grinder following steam

Profitable high-volume sports trader with a long cross-market history bought into a fast-moving pregame surge on Canadiens despite the price already moving sharply.

  • This bettor has 1,042 resolved bets, wins 66% of them, and is up $283k lifetime.
  • They trade across 383 markets and 270 events, which suggests a repeatable process rather than a one-off bet.
  • The buy came during a 20x pregame volume spike after the Canadiens jumped 13 points, showing they were willing to pay 74¢ to follow the move.

$1,468 on Canadiens | Wallet win rate: 66%

5-wallet linked Lightning cluster

Five wallets piled into Lightning at 53-54¢ with three linked by a shared funder, creating a coordinated $15.6k one-sided bet despite mixed individual track records.

  • Five wallets all bought Lightning within minutes, totaling $15.6k, and three are funded by the same address.
  • The market also saw a 22.9x volume spike, suggesting this was part of a broader rush into the same side.
  • A few wallets in the group are very active bettors with thousands of settled trades, so this looks more like coordinated conviction than random small action.

$15,640 on Lightning

Sharp bettor joins Canadiens buy

A high-volume sports bettor with a 72% win rate joined coordinated buying on the Canadiens during a sharp pre-game volume surge, making this a credible signal worth following.

  • This bettor wins 72% of 6,151 resolved trades and is up $183k overall.
  • Three wallets bought the Canadiens for $17k total as market volume ran 32x above normal.
  • They entered at 48¢ while the market now shows 46¢, keeping the price close to their fill.

$5,970 on Canadiens | Wallet win rate: 73%

4-wallet Canadiens cluster

Four wallets piled into Canadiens in a coordinated burst, including two with strong track records and one profitable new wallet, moving the price sharply against a heavily favored Lightning side.

  • Four wallets hit Canadiens at the same time for $13.3k total, a strong one-sided signal on the underdog.
  • Two of the wallets stand out: one wins 78% of bets with a strong edge, and another new 12-day wallet is already up $47k.
  • They bought at 38-52¢ while Canadiens now trade at 18¢, showing aggressive conviction against the market after a fast price swing.

$13,328 on Canadiens

Top Holders

  1. 0x47a8...52f9 Outcome 56393197, $125,000 (100% win rate)
  2. 0xaa07...2125 Outcome 56393197, $50,788 (70% win rate)
  3. 0xf5e1...5ad0 Outcome 56393197, $21,039 (50% win rate)
  4. 0x1b4d...e246 Outcome 56393197, $19,688 (70% win rate)
  5. 0x3e04...564d Outcome 56393197, $14,225 (82% win rate)
  6. 0xd48a...6e90 Outcome 56393197, $13,035 (67% win rate)
  7. 0xa2e3...fbb2 Outcome 56393197, $12,411 (78% win rate)
  8. 0xd24c...5809 Outcome 56393197, $11,407 (92% win rate)
  9. 0x6a32...0086 Outcome 56393197, $10,000 (78% win rate)
  10. 0x021c...232f Outcome 56393197, $8,862 (99% win rate)

Related Theses

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Lightning vs. Canadiens

ResolvedLightning vs. Canadiens$99,534 tracked14 signalsSportsNHLGamesHockey

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for April 26 at 7:00PM ET: If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the Canadiens win, the market will resolve to "Canadiens". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

TB
3
50-26-6
Final
MTL
2
48-24-10
TB -118MTL -102O/U 5.5
Arena
Bell Centre, Montreal
Attendance
20,962

Notable Trades

Lightning vs. Canadiens

15d ago

$22,247 on Canadiens at 13¢

Lightning vs. Canadiens

15d ago

$1,379 on Canadiens at 50¢

Lightning vs. Canadiens

15d ago

$2,160 on Lightning at 28¢

Lightning vs. Canadiens

15d ago

$6,507 on Lightning at 27¢

Lightning vs. Canadiens

15d ago

$16,954 on Lightning at 28¢

Lightning vs. Canadiens

15d ago

$2,977 on Canadiens at 74¢

Lightning vs. Canadiens

15d ago

$1,468 on Canadiens at 74¢

Lightning vs. Canadiens

16d ago

$15,640 on Lightning at 54¢

Lightning vs. Canadiens

16d ago

$5,970 on Canadiens at 48¢

Lightning vs. Canadiens

15d ago

$13,328 on Canadiens at 52¢

Lightning vs. Canadiens

16d ago

$1,124 on Canadiens at 48¢

Lightning vs. Canadiens

16d ago

$4,343 on Canadiens at 49¢

Lightning vs. Canadiens

16d ago

$4,433 on Canadiens at 50¢

Lightning vs. Canadiens

17d ago

$1,005 on Lightning at 51¢

Related Theses