Part of: UFC Fight Night: Nicolle Caliari vs. Shauna Bannon (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)
UFC Fight Night: Nicolle Caliari vs. Shauna Bannon (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)
This prediction market covers the UFC Fight Night women's strawweight prelim between Nicolle Caliari and Shauna Bannon, scheduled for May 16, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $4,159 in smart money across 3 signals, with recent sharp-wallet alerts pointing toward Caliari support. The market resolves after the official fight result, or 50-50 if the bout is a draw, no contest, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Nicolle Caliari" if Nicolle Caliari is officially declared the winner of the fight against Shauna Bannon at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026. It will resolve to "Shauna Bannon" if Shauna Bannon is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $20,579.
Categories: Sports, UFC, Games
Notable Trades
New wallet up $10K
New profitable wallet with a 7-0 record bought Caliari at 35¢ before a major volume spike and full repricing to 100¢.
- This 8-day-old bettor is 7-for-7 and up $10.3K so far.
- They bought Nicolle Caliari at 35¢ before the market moved to 100¢.
- Volume spiked 76x around this move, suggesting more than one bettor was chasing the same side.
$1,750 on Nicolle Caliari | Wallet win rate: 100%
93% winner backing Caliari
Sharp sports bettor with a 93% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Nicolle Caliari at 74¢ despite the modest alert score.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved bets and is up $37K lifetime.
- They have beaten average market odds by about 26 points across 83 resolved trades.
- Bought Nicolle Caliari at 74¢ in a liquid UFC market, implying strong confidence despite current odds near 70¢.
$1,000 on Nicolle Caliari | Wallet win rate: 93%
Elite UFC cross-market sharp
Surfaced because this is a proven serial cross-market bettor with an 81% resolved win rate and nearly $900k lifetime profit, despite the small single trade and price moving against entry.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up about $900k lifetime.
- They have traded across 84 events with over $1.17M in tracked cross-market volume.
- They bought Nicolle Caliari at 89¢, well above the current 70¢ market price, showing strong conviction.
$1,409 on Nicolle Caliari | Wallet win rate: 81%
Profitable serial fight bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 65% record over 218 resolved bets is buying Nicolle Caliari at 71¢, though the trade size is modest relative to market liquidity.
- This bettor has won 65% of 218 resolved trades and is up $15,775 lifetime.
- They have traded across 43 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process rather than a one-off bet.
- Entry at 71¢ backs the current favorite with moderate conviction in a liquid UFC market.
$1,420 on Nicolle Caliari | Wallet win rate: 65%
80% winner backs favorite
Sharp UFC bettor with an 80% resolved win rate and strong cross-market history put $15,000 on Nicolle Caliari at 71¢.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up about $57k lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market track record: 126 events and $286k traded with the same 80% win rate.
- The $15k buy is large for this market and entered at 71¢ despite the price already moving up this week.
$15,000 on Nicolle Caliari | Wallet win rate: 80%
Top Holders
- 0xa49b...4c40 — Nicolle Caliari, $24,472 (90% win rate)
- 0x9495...9a27 — Shauna Bannon, $23,398 (64% win rate)
- 0xba8c...e77d — Nicolle Caliari, $16,278 (90% win rate)
- 0x6a32...0086 — Nicolle Caliari, $12,500 (78% win rate)
- 0x8f3c...2f57 — Shauna Bannon, $7,200 (52% win rate)
- 0xd218...b5c9 — Shauna Bannon, $5,521 (43% win rate)
- 0x39d3...9ef0 — Shauna Bannon, $4,825 (44% win rate)
- 0x6b12...d642 — Nicolle Caliari, $4,752 (100% win rate)
- 0x3413...8ff2 — Shauna Bannon, $4,000 (75% win rate)
- 0x452c...7449 — Shauna Bannon, $3,859 (11% win rate)
