Part of: Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz

Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Carlos Alcaraz in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Carlos Alcaraz. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Daniil Medvedev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $25,324.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable serial trader joins three-wallet buy

Three wallets bought Medvedev near 30–33¢, including a highly profitable serial trader, though the market has since fallen to 20¢.

One of the buyers has won 73% of 367 resolved bets and is up $2.44M.
Three wallets bought Medvedev for $9,595 at roughly 30–33¢; two are adding to existing positions.
The price has since fallen to 20%, so the coordinated entry is now underwater and merits caution.

$9,595 on Daniil Medvedev

95% winner adding to Alcaraz

A highly profitable bettor with a 95% win rate is adding to an existing Alcaraz position amid a 43.6x volume spike.

This bettor has won 225 of 236 resolved trades and earned $272,293 on over $2.3M invested.
They added nearly $4,000 to an existing Alcaraz position as market volume spiked 43.6x above its historical average.
The trade was placed at 69¢, close to the current 68¢ odds.

$3,989 on Carlos Alcaraz | Wallet win rate: 95%

Proven high-volume bettor backs Alcaraz

A highly experienced, strongly profitable bettor made a sizable Alcaraz purchase, with a modest historical win-rate edge over average winning prices.

This bettor has a 64% win rate across more than 83,000 resolved bets and is up about $64.5M.
They put $11,739 on Alcaraz at 67¢, a substantial position in a market with about $6,000 in 24-hour volume.

$11,739 on Carlos Alcaraz | Wallet win rate: 64%