Part of: IR Iran vs. New Zealand
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?
In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 15, 2026 If IR Iran wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
50 smart money signals detected, totaling $10,780,799.
Categories: Games, FIFA World Cup, Sports, Soccer
Notable Trades
5-wallet Yes flow spike
Strong market-level flow: five wallets bought Yes for about $50.7k during a 41.6x volume spike, though the featured wallet also traded both sides.
- Five wallets all bought Yes, totaling about $50.7k in the same window.
- Volume spiked 41.6x above normal while the market was moving sharply.
- The featured wallet is up $375k over 868 resolved bets, but it also traded both sides during this move.
$107,803 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 64%
5-wallet dip-buying cluster
Surface due to a 5-wallet, $50.7k same-side Yes cluster buying into a sharp price drop, despite the individual wallet lacking a strong win-rate record.
- Five wallets bought the same side for $50.7k total, suggesting coordinated conviction.
- Yes odds fell 29 points in about 4 minutes, and this flow is buying the dip at 31¢.
- This wallet has been flagged 14 times before and is slightly profitable lifetime, though its win rate is weak.
$1,550 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 37%
Sharp bettor joins Yes cluster
Sharp wallet with an 85% resolved win rate bought Yes while an 8-wallet cluster put $68k on the same side despite recent price weakness.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $8.6k lifetime.
- 8 wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $68k on Yes.
- Entry at 41¢ follows a sharp Yes selloff, suggesting they see value in the dip.
$1,845 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
88% win-rate serial trader
Sharp 88% lifetime winner with strong profits is buying Yes alongside a large 10-wallet one-sided flow.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $118,721 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 60 events and an 88% hit rate.
- Ten wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $148,456 in one-sided flow.
$1,016 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
Profitable new wallet cluster
A profitable repeat new-wallet bettor is buying Yes alongside a 10-wallet one-sided cluster totaling $148k, making this a strong coordinated-conviction signal despite the market's high liquidity.
- This new bettor is already up $32k with a perfect 6-for-6 resolved record.
- 10 wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $148k in Yes bets.
- Entry at 41¢ implies they see meaningful upside versus the current market price.
$3,852 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
92% winner joins 10-wallet push
A highly profitable 92% win-rate sports bettor bought Iran Yes alongside a 10-wallet same-direction flow totaling $148k.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $337k lifetime.
- They are a proven cross-market sports trader, active across 230 events with the same 92% hit rate.
- 10 wallets bought the same side for $148k total, adding conviction behind the 41¢ entry.
$6,732 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
96% winner joins No crowd
Elite 96% win-rate wallet with $1.23M lifetime profit is buying No alongside 15-wallet one-sided flow and a pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $1.23M lifetime.
- 15 wallets are all buying No, totaling about $90.6K in the same direction.
- Entry at 59¢ comes as market volume is running 12.9x above normal.
$6,443 on No | Wallet win rate: 96%
Perfect-record bettor joins No flow
A perfect-record wallet bought No alongside broad one-sided flow, with 15 wallets putting $90.6k on the same side during a pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 32 of 32 resolved trades and is up $24.4k lifetime.
- 15 wallets are all betting No, totaling $90.6k on the same side.
- The market is seeing a 12.9x volume spike, while No is still available around 60¢.
$3,360 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
Sharp bettor joins 20-wallet NO wave
A proven 88% win-rate bettor is buying No alongside a large 20-wallet one-sided move with heavy volume and price impact.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $164K lifetime.
- 20 wallets have bought the same side for $1.28M, pushing No up sharply.
- The market saw a 94x volume spike, suggesting broad conviction behind the move.
$3,712 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%
15-wallet No surge
High-conviction one-sided flow: 15 wallets collectively bought No for about $94.7k, backed by a very active cross-market trader and recent price momentum toward No.
- 15 wallets are all betting the same way, with $94.7k flowing into No.
- The market has moved 9 points toward No in the past day, matching the one-sided buying.
- This wallet is a high-volume cross-market bettor with 2,752 resolved trades and a 74% hit rate.
$1,833 on No | Wallet win rate: 74%
Top Holders
- 0x96cf...1acb — No, $14,366,351 (100% win rate)
- 0xbddf...c684 — Yes, $2,044,443 (89% win rate)
- 0x2c33...0563 — Yes, $1,421,825 (63% win rate)
- 0x9f2f...2ca8 — Yes, $1,207,960 (51% win rate)
- 0x6754...e3bc — Yes, $946,150 (50% win rate)
- 0x4c6a...0f47 — Yes, $900,000
- 0xf031...c80c — No, $839,665 (91% win rate)
- 0x408f...b2f4 — Yes, $779,846 (100% win rate)
- 0x5966...f804 — Yes, $701,563 (94% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Yes, $696,655 (65% win rate)
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