IR Iran vs. New Zealand
101 signals across 3 markets · $11,676,520 tracked · resolves Jun 16, 2026
IR Iran vs. New Zealand is a FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 15, 2026, with Polymarket traders pricing whether IR Iran will win. PolySpotter tracks the event’s live prediction-market odds plus smart money activity, including a recent large bet in a relatively quiet soccer market.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- 12-wallet No stampede
A large 12-wallet cluster pushed heavily into No, moving the market sharply from roughly coin-flip territory to 84% No with several profitable high-volume bettors involved.
$147,312Score: 42.1 - Profitable wallets pile into draw
High-conviction Yes flow from 12 wallets is supported by a 12x volume spike, a 27-point price move, and several profitable/serial sports bettors.
$47,921Score: 35.9 - 90% winner joins No cluster
High-score No cluster with $48k of aligned flow, a proven 90% bettor, and a sharp price move against New Zealand.
$48,406Score: 26.5 - Linked sharp cluster buying No
A linked 12-wallet cluster and several profitable repeat bettors pushed No sharply higher, though there is notable opposing Yes flow.
$38,037Score: 22.6 - Sharp five-wallet No cluster
Five wallets put $20.9k on No, including multiple profitable sports-style bettors and one 75% winner, making this a notable contrarian cluster despite the market moving toward Yes.
$20,930Score: 21.7 - Profitable bettors back No
Surface because several profitable, high-volume sports bettors clustered on No, including one 77% lifetime winner and a 66% winner with strong positive P&L, though the market also shows opposing Yes flow.
$15,572Score: 20.6 - Sharp trader in Yes cluster
A profitable 75% win-rate serial cross-market bettor bought Yes alongside 13 same-side wallets, though the position has moved sharply against them since entry.
$5,057Wallet win rate: 74%Score: 20.6 - Profitable serial sports bettor
A profitable high-volume sports bettor is taking a large No position amid a major volume spike, coordinated same-side flow, and sharp odds movement.
$112,791Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 20.5 - 97% winner with clustered flow
Elite 97% winning wallet added $29.5k to Yes alongside a large 29-wallet one-sided flow and major volume spike.
$29,500Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 19.8 - 97% winner joins Yes wave
Elite 97% win-rate wallet with $1.0M lifetime profit joined a 23-wallet one-sided Yes surge on a highly liquid Iran match market.
$9,000Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 19.2
Top wallets in this event
- 0x96cfcb…1acb$10,066,372 · 1 market · 4 alerts · 100% wins
- 0x3f3aa7…e8fd$320,614 · 3 markets · 6 alerts · 60% wins
- 0x38f0b7…2768$266,230 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 93% wins
- 0x408fe7…b2f4$174,439 · 1 market · 1 alert · 91% wins
- 0xc67a7e…f0b6$108,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 64% wins
- 0x86e99f…4cdf$38,500 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 92% wins
- 0x076daa…8d4c$34,273 · 1 market · 1 alert · 66% wins
- 0xe8725f…819a$23,070 · 1 market · 1 alert · 79% wins
- 0x924379…658e$18,897 · 1 market · 1 alert · 87% wins
- 0x10a6fa…4d8b$16,516 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 74% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for IR Iran vs. New Zealand?
This event tracks the prediction market for whether IR Iran will win on June 15, 2026. The live odds move as traders buy and sell based on team news, match expectations, and market activity.
What is the smart money doing on IR Iran vs. New Zealand?
PolySpotter has tracked $10,000 in smart money across this event, including one notable signal: a large quiet-market soccer bet. That suggests a sharp trader placed meaningful size in a market with relatively limited attention.
Can I track who is betting on IR Iran vs. New Zealand?
Yes. PolySpotter highlights smart money signals, large trades, and unusual activity so you can see when experienced or high-conviction traders are moving the market.
When does the IR Iran vs. New Zealand market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve by June 16, 2026 at 01:00 UTC, after the June 15 World Cup match result is known.