Part of: Bitcoin above ___ on May 16?

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $10,451.

Categories: Bitcoin, Weekly, Multi Strikes, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring

Notable Trades

Three-wallet BTC No push

Three wallets moved together toward No on a same-day Bitcoin market, with one large serial cross-market trader and a rapid 17-point price move backing the flow.

Three wallets all shifted toward No, totaling $7.3k and helping push Yes down about 17 points in 3 minutes.
The largest No buyer has 1,906 resolved trades and is up about $400k lifetime, though this is a high-volume crypto trader rather than a pure sharp record.
Current No is around 27¢ after some traders entered much higher, offering a better copy price than the latest direct No buys at 40¢.

$7,315 on No

Profitable serial crypto trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader with a long track record is buying Yes near resolution, though the individual bet size is modest.

This bettor has a long record: 1,505 resolved trades and $388K in lifetime profit.
They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 52 events and $631K of related bets.
Entry at 86¢ is high-conviction, with the market resolving in about a day.

$1,626 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%

High-volume 79% winner

Surfaced despite a weak low-activity signal because the buyer has a large 600-bet history, 79% win rate, and positive lifetime P&L.

This bettor has won 79% of 600 resolved bets and is up $8,001 lifetime.
They bought Yes at 89¢ after a 12.5-point move in the market over the last day.
The market is fairly liquid, so the main signal is the wallet’s proven track record rather than trade size.

$1,509 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%