Bitcoin above ___ on May 16?
7 signals across 3 markets · $15,815 tracked · resolves May 16, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin will be above $84,000 at the May 16 noon ET Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute close. PolySpotter shows smart money activity around the Yes/No outcome, including a recent signal highlighting an 86% winner buying thin BTC exposure.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Three-wallet BTC No push
Three wallets moved together toward No on a same-day Bitcoin market, with one large serial cross-market trader and a rapid 17-point price move backing the flow.
$7,315Score: 8.8 - 86% winner buying thin BTC
Proven sharp wallet with an 86% record and large edge is buying Yes on a relatively thin BTC market, with the bet more than double recent 24h volume.
$1,106Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 5.0 - 87% win-rate BTC bettor
Sharp wallet with an 87% historical win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Yes on a quiet BTC market, making the wallet track record the main signal.
$1,348Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 5.0 - Profitable serial crypto trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a long track record is buying Yes near resolution, though the individual bet size is modest.
$1,626Wallet win rate: 59%Score: 4.0 - Profitable serial cross-market trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader with 1,505 resolved bets is buying No on a near-term BTC price market, though the individual trade size is modest.
$1,217Wallet win rate: 59%Score: 3.0 - Profitable serial crypto bettor
Serial cross-market Bitcoin bettor with a large positive track record bought No at 90¢, aligning with current market odds and short-term bearish momentum.
$1,693Wallet win rate: 59%Score: 3.0 - High-volume 79% winner
Surfaced despite a weak low-activity signal because the buyer has a large 600-bet history, 79% win rate, and positive lifetime P&L.
$1,509Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 1.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x0fe40e…01b7$4,536 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 59% wins
- 0x66d75f…5b7b$2,454 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 88% wins
- 0x966c61…fd62$1,509 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
FAQs
What are the Bitcoin above $84,000 on May 16 odds?
The odds come from the Polymarket market price for whether BTC/USDT closes above $84,000 on Binance at noon ET on May 16. A higher Yes price implies traders see a greater chance Bitcoin finishes above that level.
What is this Bitcoin prediction market about?
This event is a binary prediction market on whether Bitcoin’s Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle at 12:00 PM ET on May 16 has a final close above $84,000. If it closes higher than $84,000, Yes wins; otherwise, No wins.
What is the smart money doing on this market?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,106 in smart money activity across this event, with one recent signal. The alert noted an “86% winner buying thin BTC,” suggesting a historically successful trader was taking a position in a relatively thinly traded Bitcoin market.
When does the Bitcoin above $84K market resolve?
The market resolves after the May 16 12:00 PM ET Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle is available. The listed resolution time is May 16, 2026 at 16:00 UTC.
What price source determines the result?
Resolution is based on Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candlestick data. Specifically, the market uses the final close price of the 12:00 PM ET candle on May 16.