Part of: Texas Senate Election: Tarrant County Winner

Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Tarrant County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Tarrant County.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,897.

Categories: Midterms, Politics, Elections, US Election, Texas Midterm, Senate Elections

Notable Trades

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

A historically profitable, highly active cross-market bettor placed a sizable $1,897 wager in a relatively quiet political market, though the wallet's win rate does not clearly exceed its average winning price.

  • The bettor is up $299,333 across 483 resolved bets, with 101 events represented in its cross-market history.
  • The $1,897 wager accounts for 69% of the market's 24-hour volume, and Yes has risen 4.4% over the past day.

$1,897 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 64%

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Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Texas Senate Election: Tarrant County Winner$1,897 tracked1 signalMidtermsPoliticsElectionsUS ElectionTexas MidtermSenate Elections
Yes
100¢
No
0¢

This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Tarrant County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Tarrant County.

Price History — “Yes”
102¢
93¢
84¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?

2026-10-27 12:49 UTC

$1,897 on Yes at 86¢

86¢→100¢↑14¢

Related Theses