Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
This Polymarket asks whether the active-month CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contract will settle at or above $150 on any trading day before the end of June 2026. The market resolves using the official CME settlement price for the front-month contract, and it closes on June 30, 2026. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,446 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal on this market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,597.
Categories: Commodities, NYMEX Crude Oil Futures, Oil
Notable Trades
92% win-rate bettor
A small trade from a wallet with an exceptional early track record is worth surfacing because selling Yes at 17¢ translates to buying No at 83¢ from a bettor winning 92% of resolved markets.
- This bettor has won 11 of 12 resolved markets and is up $7.3k on about $19.9k invested
- They sold Yes at 17¢, which is the same as buying No at 83¢ on this crude oil market
- The market is liquid and active, so this stands out mainly because of the trader’s strong track record rather than whale size
$1,446 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%
92% win-rate bettor
A small trade from a bettor with an exceptional 92% win rate is worth surfacing despite modest size, because the track record suggests real edge and the sell converts to a buy on No around 83¢.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $7.3k on about $19.9k invested
- They sold Yes at 17¢, which is equivalent to buying No at 83¢ in this binary market
- The market is liquid enough that this looks like a deliberate directional view, not a forced exit in a thin book
$1,580 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%
92% win-rate macro bettor
A small but notable trade from a bettor with a 92% win rate and strong edge, selling Yes at 18¢ which translates to buying No at 82¢ on a liquid macro market.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and has beaten market odds by a wide margin.
- They sold Yes at 18¢, which is equivalent to buying No at 82¢ on oil staying below $150 by June 2026.
- The market is reasonably liquid, so this looks more like a sharp view than a random punt.
$2,009 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%
92% win-rate macro bettor
A bettor with a standout 92% win rate and strong edge just bought Yes at 19¢ in a liquid macro market after a sharp 1-day drop.
- This bettor wins 92% of their resolved trades and is up about $7.3k on roughly $19.9k invested
- They bought Yes at 19¢ after this market fell 12.5% in a day, suggesting they see the selloff as overdone
- The trade is a fresh directional bet in a deep oil market, not routine profit-taking
$1,562 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
Top Holders
- 0xb47a...6d60 — No, $150,353 (80% win rate)
- 0x3e21...35ca — No, $40,000
- 0x4bbe...2cf3 — Yes, $28,404 (78% win rate)
- 0xa9fe...f135 — Yes, $20,233 (67% win rate)
- 0x80a0...5708 — Yes, $17,937 (42% win rate)
- 0x2974...9c23 — No, $17,455 (91% win rate)
- 0x3ced...011a — Yes, $17,195
- 0x88c4...129a — No, $15,989 (86% win rate)
- 0xc8b7...12b9 — No, $15,576 (64% win rate)
- 0x7f9e...3a0e — No, $14,282 (86% win rate)
