Part of: Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between Team Falcons and Aurora Gaming in the ESL Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Map 1 against Aurora Gaming. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 1 against Team Falcons. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 4, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $17,541.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Three-wallet flow backing Aurora

A sharp volume surge and three-wallet flow toward Aurora support the $1,349 buy, though the trader also holds Falcons exposure.

  • Three wallets bought Aurora, totaling $3,940 in same-direction bets.
  • The market saw an 184.7× volume spike, and this trader entered Aurora at 45¢.
  • The trader has a substantial open Falcons position, so this Aurora buy may partly hedge that exposure.

$1,350 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 57%

Three-wallet Aurora buying surge

Three wallets put $3,940 on Aurora amid a reported 184.7x volume spike, though this wallet's track record does not show a clear edge.

  • Three wallets bought Aurora, totaling $3,940 in coordinated one-sided flow.
  • The market saw an unusually large volume surge: 184.7 times its 24-hour average.
  • The bettor has 57 resolved trades and is up $10,487, but its 61% win rate does not clearly beat its average winning entry price.

$1,417 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 61%

Seven-wallet Falcons accumulation

Seven wallets added $13.6K of Team Falcons exposure, including a highly profitable large trader, though opposing Aurora flow and the current 52% price add uncertainty.

  • Seven wallets put about $13.6K behind Team Falcons, with most trades adding to existing Falcons positions.
  • One participating wallet is up over $2M lifetime; another has a 76% win rate across 25 resolved bets.
  • A separate Aurora sell also converts to a Falcons buy, but other Aurora buying makes the overall flow less unanimous.

$13,601 on Team Falcons

Proven bettor adds to Aurora cluster

A profitable, highly active trader added to an existing Aurora position amid a 3-wallet one-sided buying cluster and a sharp pre-event volume spike.

  • Three wallets bought Aurora for $3,940, alongside a 184.7× pre-event volume spike.
  • This bettor has won 68% of 1,967 resolved bets and is up about $718,000 lifetime.
  • The $1,174 buy adds to an existing Aurora position, showing continued conviction despite the position being underwater.

$1,174 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 75%

Related Theses

Team Falcons sweep Aurora

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9z sweeps TYLOO decisively

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Luminosity beats Lynn Vision

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ENCE will beat SINQU decisively

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FaZe beats MIBR

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Panama Croatia high-scoring match

Covers 1 related market

FURIA sweeps Aurora

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Team Nemesis beats Monte

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Falcons win map one, Spirit series

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MIBR Academy wins Map 2

Covers 1 related market

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage$17,541 tracked4 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
Team Falcons
100¢
Aurora Gaming
0¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between Team Falcons and Aurora Gaming in the ESL Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Map 1 against Aurora Gaming. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 1 against Team Falcons. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 4, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner

2026-10-04 12:32 UTC

$1,350 on Aurora Gaming at 45¢

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner

2026-10-04 12:32 UTC

$1,417 on Aurora Gaming at 50¢

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner

2026-10-04 12:32 UTC

$13,601 on Team Falcons at 62¢

62¢→100¢↑38¢

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner

2026-10-04 12:32 UTC

$1,174 on Aurora Gaming at 48¢

Related Theses